L’École des cotes

Andorra CF v Málaga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Andorra CF (Local)

Prévision 47.83%2.09cote équitable
EV -0.995%
Avantage -0.481%
Kelly -0.930%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.21%47.75%47.96%49.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.951.952.0757.14%51.22%51.28%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Málaga (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.65%3.90cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.461%
Kelly -0.624%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.50%25.77%25.51%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.503.503.8330.30%28.53%28.57%26.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.52%3.77cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -0.874%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.72%26.48%26.53%29.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.403.403.6534.72%29.42%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -0.995%E -0.481%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -0.995%E -0.481%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -0.995%E -0.481%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 16:39
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -0.995%E -0.481%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 16:35
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -0.995%E -0.481%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 16:40
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -2.91%E -1.43%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 16:24
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 16:35
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 16:35
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 16:35
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -1.77%E -0.461%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.19%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.03%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -2.54%E -0.667%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 16:34
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.03%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -2.54%E -0.667%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 16:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 16:25
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 16:34
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 16:24
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 16:40
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-01 16:40
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-01 16:40
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:34
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 16:44
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.85%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.64%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 16:24
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 16:24
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 16:44
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 16:44
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 16:40
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 16:40
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-01 16:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 16:39
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 16:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-01 16:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 16:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 16:44
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 16:45
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.60%E -5.08%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -10.08%E -5.36%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -8.95%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 16:40
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-01 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.12%EV -11.04%E -5.93%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-01 16:40
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-01 16:44
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -12.47%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -12.47%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -23.61%E -8.20%K -12.56%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-01 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.70%EV -16.30%E -9.31%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.50%EV -8.95%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 25.81%EV -10.62%E -3.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-01 16:42
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-04-01 16:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-04-01 16:44
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-04-01 16:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-01 16:45