La escuela de los momios

Andorra CF v Málaga

Inicio: 2026-04-01 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Andorra CF (Local)

Predicción 47.83%2.09momio equitativo
EV -0.995%
Ventaja -0.481%
Kelly -0.930%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.21%47.75%47.96%49.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.951.952.0757.14%51.22%51.28%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Málaga (Visitante)

Predicción 25.65%3.90momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.461%
Kelly -0.624%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.50%25.77%25.51%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.503.503.8330.30%28.53%28.57%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.52%3.77momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -0.874%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.72%26.48%26.53%29.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.403.403.6534.72%29.42%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -0.995%E -0.481%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -0.995%E -0.481%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -0.995%E -0.481%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 16:39
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -0.995%E -0.481%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 16:35
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -0.995%E -0.481%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 16:40
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -2.91%E -1.43%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 16:24
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 16:35
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 16:35
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 16:35
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -1.77%E -0.461%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.19%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.03%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -2.54%E -0.667%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 16:34
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.03%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -2.54%E -0.667%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 16:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 16:25
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 16:34
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 16:24
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 16:40
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-01 16:40
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-01 16:40
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:34
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 16:44
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.85%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.64%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 16:24
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 16:24
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 16:44
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 16:44
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 16:40
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 16:40
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-01 16:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 16:39
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 16:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-01 16:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 16:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 16:44
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 16:45
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.60%E -5.08%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -10.08%E -5.36%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -8.95%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 16:40
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-01 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.12%EV -11.04%E -5.93%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-01 16:40
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -13.80%E -4.25%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-01 16:44
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -12.47%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -12.47%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -23.61%E -8.20%K -12.56%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-01 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.70%EV -16.30%E -9.31%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.50%EV -8.95%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 25.81%EV -10.62%E -3.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-01 16:42
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-04-01 16:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-04-01 16:44
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-04-01 16:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-01 16:45