The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Andorra CF v Burgos CF

Kickoff: 2026-10-26 19:30 UTC

Final: Andorra CF 2–3 Burgos CF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF (Local)

Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV -0.665%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.573%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%46.07%46.06%48.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.972.002.1656.18%50.71%50.00%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Burgos CF (Visit)

Prediction 24.96%4.01fair odd
EV +0.575%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.190%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.73%24.96%24.97%27.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.663.654.0329.85%27.32%27.40%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.05%3.44fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.484%
Kelly +0.677%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.78%28.97%28.97%30.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.203.203.5034.48%31.30%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 45.99%; Burgos CF (Visit): 24.96%; Draw: 29.05%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -11.24%E -5.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.69%E +0.484%K +0.677%G +0.011%6.7%2026-10-26 18:36
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -11.24%E -5.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.69%E +0.484%K +0.677%G +0.011%6.7%2026-10-26 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -11.24%E -5.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.69%E +0.484%K +0.677%G +0.011%6.7%2026-10-26 18:36
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -11.24%E -5.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.69%E +0.484%K +0.677%G +0.011%6.7%2026-10-26 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -11.24%E -5.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.69%E +0.484%K +0.677%G +0.011%6.7%2026-10-26 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -3.92%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.21%E -0.357%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 19:26
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.00%EV -0.665%E -0.308%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.87%EV -14.90%E -4.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.12%EV -1.79%E -0.531%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 19:26
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -13.54%E -7.20%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.91%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -2.67%E -0.796%K -1.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 18:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -13.54%E -7.20%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.91%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -2.67%E -0.796%K -1.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -13.54%E -7.20%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.91%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -2.67%E -0.796%K -1.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 18:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -13.54%E -7.20%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.91%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -2.67%E -0.796%K -1.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 18:36
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -2.67%E -0.684%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 19:26
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -14.00%E -7.49%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-26 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -14.46%E -7.77%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-26 18:36
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -14.46%E -7.77%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-26 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -14.92%E -8.07%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 18:36
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -9.86%E -5.03%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.21%EV -4.17%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.35%EV -4.70%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 19:26
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.26%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.99%EV +0.575%E +0.143%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.75%EV -5.57%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-26 19:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.57%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 19:26
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -13.90%E -4.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -5.57%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-26 19:26
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -7.02%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 19:26
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.02%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 19:26
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.02%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 19:26
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.02%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 19:18
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.02%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.02%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-26 19:26
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -11.24%E -5.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.02%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-26 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-26 19:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.23%EV -8.94%E -4.52%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.15%E -4.46%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-26 19:26
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.05%EV -18.14%E -10.19%K -23.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.79%EV -13.90%E -4.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-26 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 19:26
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 19:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 19:26
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 19:26
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-26 19:26
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-26 19:26
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:26
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:20
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:26
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.55%EV -9.86%E -5.03%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.65%EV -13.15%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-26 19:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -15.84%E -8.66%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-26 19:26
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.50%E -1.18%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -11.38%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 19:26
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.50%E -1.18%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -11.38%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 19:26
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.31%EV -6.64%E -3.27%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -11.38%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 19:26
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 19:26
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-26 19:20
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-26 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-26 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-26 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -12.16%E -6.37%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 46.43%EV -16.76%E -9.26%K -20.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.09%EV -16.40%E -4.89%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.49%EV -14.29%E -4.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-26 19:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -15.74%E -5.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-26 19:26
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-10-26 19:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-10-26 19:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-10-26 19:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-10-26 19:26
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-10-26 19:26
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-10-26 19:26

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