Idioma:Español
Almería v Leganés
Resultado del partido
Almería (Local)
Predicción 56.40%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.22%56.20%56.44%57.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.461.661.671.7568.49%60.23%59.88%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Leganés (Visitante)
Predicción 19.97%5.01momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -0.861%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.07%20.09%19.93%21.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.454.504.8025.00%22.48%22.22%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.63%4.23momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.295%
Kelly -0.388%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.94%23.71%23.63%25.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.753.754.1828.57%26.70%26.67%23.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Almería (Local): 56.40%; Leganés (Visitante): 19.97%; Empate: 23.63%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.23. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.18, con un valor esperado de -1.23%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -1.30%E -0.743%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.13%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -12.58%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -1.30%E -0.743%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.13%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -12.58%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -1.30%E -0.743%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.13%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -12.58%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -1.30%E -0.743%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.13%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -12.58%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -1.30%E -0.743%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.13%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -12.58%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -15.12%E -3.56%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -16.12%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -15.12%E -3.56%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -16.12%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -15.12%E -3.56%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -16.12%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -15.12%E -3.56%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -16.12%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 15:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.13%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 16:06 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.08%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV -4.13%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.94%EV -1.23%E -0.295%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 15:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.24%EV -6.53%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.39%EV -4.31%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -16.12%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.12%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -16.12%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.12%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -5.13%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.13%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 16:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.13%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 16:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.13%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.39%E -3.04%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 16:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.12%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.30%E -4.94%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.12%E -2.76%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.04%EV -8.07%E -4.95%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -7.13%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -4.31%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.03%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.03%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -5.13%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.39%E -3.04%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.54%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -20.11%E -5.03%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -17.30%E -4.94%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -9.20%E -5.71%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -4.13%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 16:41 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -9.20%E -5.71%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.13%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.03%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.53%EV -10.89%E -6.89%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -10.13%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.63%EV -10.69%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.12%EV -12.02%E -7.70%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -16.12%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.81%EV -13.14%E -8.54%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.96%EV -18.11%E -4.42%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.23%EV -12.58%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 56.99%EV -17.66%E -12.09%K -38.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 19.58%EV -15.12%E -3.56%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.44%EV -16.12%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-10-04 15:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.