L’École des cotesAlmería v CD Mirandés
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Almería (Local)
Prévision 66.29%1.51cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -8.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.17%66.20%66.27%67.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.381.391.4576.92%72.45%71.94%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
CD Mirandés (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.77%6.77cote équitable
EV +3.37%
Avantage +0.481%
Kelly +0.561%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.10%14.79%14.73%16.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.326.307.0018.18%15.83%15.87%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.95%5.28cote équitable
EV -0.530%
Avantage -0.101%
Kelly -0.125%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.28%19.01%18.99%21.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.734.755.2526.67%21.14%21.05%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.72%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.96%EV +1.74%E +0.253%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.32%EV -0.530%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -0.324%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -5.27%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -0.324%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -0.324%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -11.18%E -8.34%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -0.324%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -11.18%E -8.34%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -0.324%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.60%EV -8.52%E -6.18%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -1.06%E -0.159%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -4.32%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.27%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.27%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 17:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.00%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 17:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 17:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-04 17:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 17:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.84%E -8.90%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -13.83%E -10.64%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-04 17:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.83%EV -12.50%E -9.47%K -39.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -7.86%E -5.66%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -6.97%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -6.21%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -7.86%E -5.66%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -6.97%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -6.21%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -7.71%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 17:30 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -8.52%E -6.18%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -7.71%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -7.16%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 18:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -8.52%E -6.18%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -7.71%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.68%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -9.92%E -1.63%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.71%EV -3.56%E -0.700%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -7.16%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -7.16%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| BetAnything | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -7.16%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 17:30 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.27%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 17:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.90%EV -8.52%E -6.18%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.13%EV -10.51%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-04 18:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.23%EV -8.52%E -6.18%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -12.88%E -2.18%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.27%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.80%EV -13.83%E -10.64%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.72%EV -12.88%E -2.18%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.48%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.43%EV -10.51%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.77%EV -17.31%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.46%EV -10.51%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.54%EV -17.31%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -17.58%E -4.04%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-04 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -10.00%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 63.17%EV -13.83%E -10.64%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 14.93%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.90%EV -28.95%E -7.72%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.14% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77% | 0.5% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.90% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.89% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.19% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.92% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.8% | 2026-05-04 18:24 |