La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Almería v CD Mirandés
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Almería (Local)
Predicción 66.29%1.51momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -2.68%
Kelly -8.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.17%66.20%66.27%67.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.381.391.4576.92%72.45%71.94%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Mirandés (Visitante)
Predicción 14.77%6.77momio equitativo
EV +3.37%
Ventaja +0.481%
Kelly +0.561%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.10%14.79%14.73%16.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.326.307.0018.18%15.83%15.87%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.95%5.28momio equitativo
EV -0.530%
Ventaja -0.101%
Kelly -0.125%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.28%19.01%18.99%21.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.734.755.2526.67%21.14%21.05%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +3.37%E +0.481%K +0.561%G +0.019% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.72%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.96%EV +1.74%E +0.253%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.32%EV -0.530%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -0.324%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -5.27%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -0.324%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -0.324%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -11.18%E -8.34%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -0.324%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -11.18%E -8.34%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -0.324%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.60%EV -8.52%E -6.18%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -1.06%E -0.159%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -4.32%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.27%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.27%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 17:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.00%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 17:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 17:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-04 17:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 17:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.84%E -8.90%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -13.83%E -10.64%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-04 17:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.83%EV -12.50%E -9.47%K -39.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -4.02%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -7.86%E -5.66%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -6.97%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -6.21%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -7.86%E -5.66%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -6.97%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -6.21%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -7.71%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 17:30 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -8.52%E -6.18%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -7.71%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -7.16%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 18:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -8.52%E -6.18%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -7.71%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.68%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -9.92%E -1.63%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.71%EV -3.56%E -0.700%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -7.16%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -7.16%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| BetAnything | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -7.16%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 17:30 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.27%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 17:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.85%E -2.79%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.90%EV -8.52%E -6.18%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.06%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.13%EV -10.51%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-04 18:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.40%E -1.90%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.23%EV -8.52%E -6.18%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -12.88%E -2.18%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.27%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.80%EV -13.83%E -10.64%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.72%EV -12.88%E -2.18%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.48%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.43%EV -10.51%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.77%EV -17.31%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -10.95%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.46%EV -10.51%E -7.79%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.54%EV -17.31%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -17.58%E -4.04%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-04 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.74%E -3.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -9.85%E -7.24%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -10.00%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-04 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 63.17%EV -13.83%E -10.64%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 14.93%EV -18.78%E -3.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.90%EV -28.95%E -7.72%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.14% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77% | 0.5% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.90% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.89% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.19% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.92% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.8% | 2026-05-04 18:24 |