Language:English
Albacete v SD Eibar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Albacete (Local)
Prediction 36.85%2.71fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.891%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.68%36.68%36.95%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.502.6544.44%39.98%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SD Eibar (Visit)
Prediction 35.96%2.78fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%36.11%35.91%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.552.7242.55%39.25%39.22%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -0.804%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.01%27.21%27.14%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.353.6032.26%30.12%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albacete (Local): 36.85%; SD Eibar (Visit): 35.96%; Draw: 27.20%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -2.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -2.36%E -0.891%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -13.70%E -5.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.60%EV -2.20%E -0.807%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.59%EV -4.54%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 11:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.580%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 11:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.67%EV -5.07%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 11:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.05%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.54%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -4.81%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 08:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.09%E -0.580%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.81%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -11.90%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -11.90%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -11.90%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV -7.52%E -3.00%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 07:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.68%EV -7.52%E -3.00%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.81%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.90%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.90%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.90%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.90%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-03 11:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.62%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.62%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.62%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.62%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 07:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 07:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-03 11:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -10.47%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -10.47%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -11.57%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -12.31%E -5.17%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -13.70%E -5.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -13.41%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -13.41%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.90%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -13.41%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.42%EV -11.18%E -4.53%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.27%EV -17.10%E -7.60%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.68%EV -15.50%E -6.60%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-10-03 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.48% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.38% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.71% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90% | 2.4% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |