The School of Odds
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Albacete v Sabadell FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 20:01 UTC

Final: Albacete 2–1 Sabadell FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albacete (Local)

Prediction 38.15%2.62fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.741%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.06%38.04%38.09%40.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.392.402.5948.78%41.83%41.67%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sabadell FC (Visit)

Prediction 31.05%3.22fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.380%
Kelly +0.547%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.14%31.21%31.07%33.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.942.953.2637.04%33.98%33.90%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.79%3.25fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.459%
Kelly -0.668%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.41%30.75%30.84%31.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.2035.71%33.33%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albacete (Local): 38.15%; Sabadell FC (Visit): 31.05%; Draw: 30.79%. For Sabadell FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.41%EV -8.05%E -3.34%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.14%EV +1.24%E +0.380%K +0.547%G +0.007%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -7.01%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 19:55
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.18%E -0.455%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.88%EV -2.49%E -0.793%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.69%EV -5.78%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 19:45
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -3.01%E -0.955%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 19:24
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 19:25
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.61%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.28%E -3.00%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.63%EV -5.59%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 19:25
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.47%E -0.459%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.47%E -0.459%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.47%E -0.459%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.47%E -0.459%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.47%E -0.459%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -3.09%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.86%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -3.09%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.86%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 19:55
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -3.09%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -8.86%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 19:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.61%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 19:55
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 19:25
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -10.34%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 19:25
Bovada🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.19%EV -5.76%E -2.33%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 19:34
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 19:55
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 19:55
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 19:15
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.79%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -13.79%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 19:45
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -13.79%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 19:22
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 19:44
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 19:43
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 19:25
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -11.48%E -4.95%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 19:25
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -11.48%E -4.95%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 19:25
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -11.48%E -4.95%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 19:25
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -11.48%E -4.95%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 19:24
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.24%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -12.24%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -11.50%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -12.24%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -11.50%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.06%EV -13.01%E -5.70%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -11.50%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -14.15%E -6.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.50%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.25%E -4.30%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-31 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -10.34%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.54%EV -12.12%E -4.28%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.47%EV -9.78%E -3.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 19:33
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01%EV -12.24%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -12.43%E -4.41%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -13.17%E -4.67%K -7.24%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-31 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.08%EV -16.06%E -7.30%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%EV -14.60%E -5.31%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-31 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.36%EV -21.78%E -10.63%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.09%EV -14.60%E -5.31%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.55%EV -13.79%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%20.9%2026-10-31 19:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -4.61%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -16.15%E -5.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-10-31 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-10-31 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-10-31 19:45
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-10-31 19:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.64%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%1.0%2026-10-31 19:45
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 37.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.3%2026-10-31 19:55