Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Albacete v Oviedo

Inizio: 2026-08-29 17:01 UTC

Finale: Albacete 0–1 Oviedo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Albacete (Casa)

Previsione 39.17%2.55quota equa
EV -4.04%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.78%39.18%39.19%39.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.162.332.352.4546.30%42.84%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Oviedo (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.26%3.31quota equa
EV -0.758%
Vantaggio -0.231%
Kelly -0.332%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.70%30.19%30.27%31.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.023.003.2835.09%33.07%33.33%30.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 30.58%3.27quota equa
EV -1.24%
Vantaggio -0.384%
Kelly -0.556%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.19%30.63%30.53%32.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.993.003.2335.71%33.43%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Albacete (Casa): 39.17%; Oviedo (Trasferta): 30.26%; Pareggio: 30.58%. Per Oviedo (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.31. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.28, con un valore atteso del -0.758%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.50%EV -0.758%E -0.231%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 16:15
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:40
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -5.21%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV -8.32%E -2.75%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -1.24%E -0.384%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -1.67%E -0.513%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -1.67%E -0.513%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:05
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -1.67%E -0.513%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:05
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:41
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:15
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 16:39
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 10:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 09:10
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 14:29
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 16:10
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 14:30
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -7.17%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.25%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-28 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -7.17%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.25%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-28 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:20
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:56
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 16:20
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.60%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -3.18%E -0.993%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -12.86%E -4.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:41
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:41
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 16:41
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -8.35%E -3.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -8.74%E -3.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 16:45
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:53
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:15
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 16:46
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.70%E -4.69%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 16:20
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.70%E -4.69%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.70%E -4.69%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 16:20
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.70%E -4.69%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.65%EV -11.09%E -4.89%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.32%EV -7.11%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 16:41
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.61%EV -12.66%E -5.68%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.46%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.61%EV -12.66%E -5.68%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.46%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.18%EV -13.05%E -5.88%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.30%EV -13.16%E -4.59%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -12.86%E -4.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-29 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -13.83%E -6.29%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 39.54%EV -15.40%E -7.13%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.96%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.50%EV -14.39%E -5.14%K -7.99%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-29 16:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.98%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.00%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.02%0.1%2026-08-29 16:15
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-08-29 16:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-08-29 16:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-08-29 16:51
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.0%2026-08-29 16:56