L’École des cotes

Albacete v Granada CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 16:32 UTC

Score final : Albacete 4–1 Granada CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Albacete (Local)

Prévision 38.49%2.60cote équitable
EV +0.083%
Avantage +0.032%
Kelly +0.052%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.17%38.43%38.50%41.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.362.382.6046.73%42.44%42.02%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Granada CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.86%3.24cote équitable
EV +0.290%
Avantage +0.089%
Kelly +0.129%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.91%30.94%30.80%32.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.603.013.003.2538.46%33.27%33.33%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.65%3.26cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.75%30.63%30.70%33.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.003.003.1538.02%33.36%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -12.24%E -5.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +0.290%E +0.089%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -12.24%E -5.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +0.290%E +0.089%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -12.24%E -5.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +0.290%E +0.089%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -12.24%E -5.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +0.290%E +0.089%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -12.24%E -5.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +0.290%E +0.089%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.85%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -0.636%E -0.197%K -0.286%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.81%E -3.72%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 16:29
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.89%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.17%EV -0.944%E -0.294%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.94%EV -4.07%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 16:29
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -14.16%E -6.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -14.16%E -6.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 16:29
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -15.31%E -6.96%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -15.31%E -6.96%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV +0.083%E +0.032%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -12.65%E -4.44%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 16:30
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 16:29
BetAnything2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -9.16%E -3.88%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:29
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.20%EV -17.62%E -8.24%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.91%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.89%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 16:31
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:29
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:29
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:29
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:29
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.39%E -3.52%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:29
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.39%E -3.52%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.97%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.97%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:30
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -9.16%E -3.88%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -8.97%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -8.97%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 16:29
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.54%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 16:31
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:31
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:28
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.47%E -4.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -8.39%E -3.52%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.13%E -3.86%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.73%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.47%E -4.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.13%E -3.86%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.73%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.03%EV -9.54%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -12.05%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.61%EV -10.51%E -3.60%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 16:26
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.60%E -4.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.60%E -4.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -15.14%E -5.51%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -15.14%E -5.51%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 16:31
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -15.14%E -5.51%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -15.14%E -5.51%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.24%EV -11.47%E -4.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -19.77%E -7.60%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.70%EV -19.40%E -7.37%K -11.90%G +0.000%20.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-04-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-04-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%1.3%2026-04-19 16:31
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-04-19 16:31
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 37.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%3.1%2026-04-19 16:31
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%4.1%2026-04-19 16:31