La escuela de los momios

Albacete v Granada CF

Inicio: 2026-04-19 16:32 UTC

Final: Albacete 4–1 Granada CF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Albacete (Local)

Predicción 38.49%2.60momio equitativo
EV +0.083%
Ventaja +0.032%
Kelly +0.052%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.17%38.43%38.50%41.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.362.382.6046.73%42.44%42.02%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Granada CF (Visitante)

Predicción 30.86%3.24momio equitativo
EV +0.290%
Ventaja +0.089%
Kelly +0.129%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.91%30.94%30.80%32.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.603.013.003.2538.46%33.27%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.65%3.26momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.75%30.63%30.70%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.003.003.1538.02%33.36%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -12.24%E -5.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +0.290%E +0.089%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -12.24%E -5.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +0.290%E +0.089%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -12.24%E -5.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +0.290%E +0.089%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -12.24%E -5.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +0.290%E +0.089%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -12.24%E -5.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +0.290%E +0.089%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.85%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -0.636%E -0.197%K -0.286%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.81%E -3.72%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 16:29
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.89%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.17%EV -0.944%E -0.294%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.94%EV -4.07%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 16:29
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -14.16%E -6.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -14.16%E -6.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -2.80%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 16:29
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -15.31%E -6.96%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -15.31%E -6.96%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV +0.083%E +0.032%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -12.65%E -4.44%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 16:30
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.52%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 16:29
BetAnything2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -9.16%E -3.88%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:29
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.20%EV -17.62%E -8.24%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.91%EV -5.88%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.89%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 16:31
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:29
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:29
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:29
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:29
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.39%E -3.52%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:29
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.39%E -3.52%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.42%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.97%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -4.99%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.97%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:30
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -9.16%E -3.88%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -8.97%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -8.97%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 16:29
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.54%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 16:31
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:31
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:28
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.47%E -4.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.51%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -8.39%E -3.52%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.13%E -3.86%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.73%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.47%E -4.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.13%E -3.86%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.73%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.03%EV -9.54%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -12.05%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.61%EV -10.51%E -3.60%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 16:26
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -13.60%E -4.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.60%E -4.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -15.14%E -5.51%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -15.14%E -5.51%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 16:31
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -15.14%E -5.51%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -7.62%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -15.14%E -5.51%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.24%EV -11.47%E -4.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -19.77%E -7.60%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.70%EV -19.40%E -7.37%K -11.90%G +0.000%20.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-04-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-04-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.86%1.3%2026-04-19 16:31
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-04-19 16:31
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 37.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%3.1%2026-04-19 16:31
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%4.1%2026-04-19 16:31