Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albacete v Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 18:30 UTC

Final: Albacete 1–2 Córdoba

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albacete (Local)

Prediction 38.70%2.58fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -0.847%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.83%38.69%38.74%41.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.332.352.5548.08%42.84%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 34.86%2.87fair odd
EV +2.83%
Edge +0.960%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.83%34.79%34.90%35.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.652.9540.00%37.05%37.74%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.44%3.78fair odd
EV -0.846%
Edge -0.226%
Kelly -0.308%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%26.52%26.35%29.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.403.7532.26%28.99%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albacete (Local): 38.70%; Córdoba (Visit): 34.86%; Draw: 26.44%. For Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -11.76%E -5.16%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV +2.83%E +0.960%K +1.45%G +0.041%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 05:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -11.76%E -5.16%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV +2.83%E +0.960%K +1.45%G +0.041%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 05:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -11.76%E -5.16%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV +2.83%E +0.960%K +1.45%G +0.041%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 05:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -11.76%E -5.16%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV +2.83%E +0.960%K +1.45%G +0.041%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 05:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -11.76%E -5.16%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV +2.83%E +0.960%K +1.45%G +0.041%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 05:15
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -14.86%E -6.75%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -0.653%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 05:15
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -14.86%E -6.75%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -0.653%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 05:15
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -14.86%E -6.75%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -0.653%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 05:15
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -14.86%E -6.75%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -0.653%E -0.229%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 05:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.63%E -7.17%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -11.42%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 05:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -15.63%E -7.17%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -11.42%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 05:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.11%EV -16.02%E -7.38%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -2.40%E -0.856%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.74%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 05:15
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.18%EV -5.18%E -2.12%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.53%EV -3.09%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -3.49%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 10:20
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -1.31%E -0.515%K -0.847%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -0.846%E -0.226%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -5.18%E -2.12%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -6.13%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 10:15
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 10:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -18.03%E -5.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -2.17%E -0.586%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -4.02%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -4.02%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:00
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -4.02%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:59
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.18%E -2.12%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 13:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 10:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 41.32%EV -19.50%E -9.38%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.83%EV -5.88%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -15.39%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-18 05:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.11%EV -7.89%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.60%EV -6.23%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.29%EV -6.40%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 10:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -9.05%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.17%E -0.586%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -9.05%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:15
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.42%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 12:09
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.05%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:40
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.05%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -11.76%E -5.16%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 07:45
Bovada🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.80%EV -5.57%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.07%EV -8.32%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.50%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -8.32%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 11:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:15
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.74%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 13:40
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -7.89%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.74%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 10:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.05%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 07:40
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.89%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 12:50
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.89%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 12:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 14:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.79%EV -9.44%E -4.03%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.91%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 07:45
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.05%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:15
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.05%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 10:20
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 10:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 10:20
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.89%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -15.39%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.24%EV -16.79%E -7.81%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.93%EV -11.11%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.83%EV -11.42%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-18 07:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.85%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 12:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -10.21%E -4.40%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -12.85%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.74%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 14:57
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-09-18 15:10
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.05%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.05%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.05%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-09-18 14:25