The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Albacete v CD Eldense

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 15:16 UTC

Final: Albacete 2–0 CD Eldense

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albacete (Local)

Prediction 40.76%2.45fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.11%40.78%40.79%42.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.272.282.4148.78%44.08%43.86%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CD Eldense (Visit)

Prediction 31.31%3.19fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.350%
Kelly +0.507%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.95%31.28%31.41%33.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.892.883.2338.46%34.62%34.72%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -0.896%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.93%27.79%29.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.82%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albacete (Local): 40.76%; CD Eldense (Visit): 31.31%; Draw: 27.93%. For CD Eldense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.95%EV +1.13%E +0.350%K +0.507%G +0.006%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.40%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 15:12
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.02%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -2.94%E -0.948%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 15:12
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.02%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -2.94%E -0.948%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 15:11
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.02%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -2.94%E -0.948%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 15:11
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.35%EV -7.07%E -3.10%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -12.85%E -4.12%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 15:11
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.17%EV -7.89%E -3.49%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.81%EV -5.44%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.02%EV -7.27%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 15:12
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 15:11
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 14:21
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 15:15
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 15:12
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -12.37%E -5.75%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.24%E -0.640%K -0.896%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 15:12
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 15:12
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 15:12
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 15:14
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.49%EV -1.77%E -0.735%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -6.70%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.58%EV -6.99%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 15:12
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -7.64%E -2.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 15:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 15:12
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -9.52%E -4.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 09:45
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -9.52%E -4.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 09:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -9.52%E -4.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 09:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 15:15
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.33%E -4.70%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-25 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -14.41%E -6.86%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 15:15
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.33%E -4.70%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 15:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.33%E -4.70%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 15:14
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -9.83%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 14:22
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -9.83%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 14:22
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -9.83%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -9.83%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -9.83%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 14:22
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.83%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 15:11
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.83%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 15:12
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -12.37%E -5.75%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -9.83%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-25 15:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.14%E -3.53%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -12.37%E -5.75%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -10.77%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.20%EV -8.38%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 14:51
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 15:14
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 15:11
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 15:12
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.29%E -3.69%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 15:12
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -12.37%E -5.75%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-25 15:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -16.44%E -8.02%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-25 15:15
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -13.90%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 07:45
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -13.90%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 07:45
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -13.90%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 07:45
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -13.90%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -7.07%E -3.10%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -13.90%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -7.07%E -3.10%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -13.90%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 14:22
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -12.37%E -5.75%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -13.90%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.02%E -3.81%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-25 15:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -12.37%E -5.75%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -13.90%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.10%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-25 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -15.46%E -5.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-25 15:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.11%EV -7.07%E -3.10%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -15.46%E -5.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 07:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.17%EV -11.15%E -5.11%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.84%EV -18.59%E -7.15%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.99%EV -14.81%E -4.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-25 07:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-10-25 15:12
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-10-25 15:12
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61%1.3%2026-10-25 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-10-25 15:15
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-10-25 15:15
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%3.3%2026-10-25 15:15