Language:English
AD Ceuta FC v Sabadell FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Prediction 29.43%3.40fair odd
EV +0.063%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.026%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%29.39%29.44%31.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.103.4034.48%32.21%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sabadell FC (Visit)
Prediction 39.91%2.51fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.27%40.06%39.88%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.292.302.4348.78%43.70%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.01%30.55%30.68%32.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.053.2035.71%33.00%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AD Ceuta FC (Local): 29.43%; Sabadell FC (Visit): 39.91%; Draw: 30.66%. For AD Ceuta FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.398. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.063%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +0.063%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.27%EV -3.42%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.44%EV -10.16%E -3.47%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.09%EV -2.00%E -0.600%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.86%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.05%EV -4.33%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.88%E -0.873%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-10 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -8.63%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -8.63%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -8.63%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.22%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -7.29%E -2.32%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.29%E -2.32%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -7.41%E -3.20%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -7.41%E -3.20%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -7.41%E -3.20%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -7.41%E -3.20%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -7.41%E -3.20%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -7.41%E -3.20%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.24%E -3.36%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -10.24%E -3.36%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.23%EV -11.41%E -5.14%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.48%EV -10.16%E -3.47%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.22%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.32%EV -12.59%E -4.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.58%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -13.18%E -4.47%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -11.01%E -4.94%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -13.18%E -4.47%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -11.01%E -4.94%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -13.18%E -4.47%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -13.18%E -4.47%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.63%EV -13.18%E -4.47%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.20%EV -18.19%E -8.87%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.17%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.65%E -5.05%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -10.21%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.00% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.02% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98% | -0.1% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12% | 0.4% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12% | 0.4% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12% | 0.4% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 1.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |