Language:English
AD Ceuta FC v Real Racing Club de Santander
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Prediction 28.82%3.47fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -0.834%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%28.77%28.83%30.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.203.243.4037.04%31.24%30.91%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit)
Prediction 46.26%2.16fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.66%46.29%46.25%47.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.972.002.0653.19%50.63%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.92%4.01fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.443%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.21%24.95%24.91%27.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.613.603.9633.33%27.72%27.78%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AD Ceuta FC (Local): 28.82%; Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit): 46.26%; Draw: 24.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.96, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -6.56%E -3.25%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -4.05%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 04:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.98%EV -4.60%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.79%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.22%EV -1.31%E -0.331%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 21:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.80%E -5.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.80%E -5.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.80%E -5.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.34%E -4.76%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.34%E -4.76%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.34%E -4.76%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.34%E -4.76%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.68%EV -10.26%E -5.29%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.73%E -5.56%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -6.04%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.71%E -2.29%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.60%EV -3.56%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -9.80%E -5.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 09:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -9.80%E -5.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.65%E -6.10%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -11.19%E -5.83%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -14.02%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -11.19%E -5.83%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -14.02%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -7.19%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -7.95%E -4.00%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.05%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -6.56%E -3.25%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -6.56%E -3.25%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%EV -7.95%E -4.00%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -13.04%E -6.94%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-20 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -10.07%E -3.23%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.65%E -6.10%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.04%EV -11.65%E -6.10%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -12.11%E -6.38%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 21:56 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.44%EV -13.04%E -6.94%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.91%EV -10.26%E -5.29%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.40%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -11.65%E -6.10%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.81%EV -16.41%E -5.66%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.50%EV -12.11%E -6.38%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.18%EV -22.18%E -8.21%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 42.66%EV -11.65%E -6.10%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.16%EV -25.24%E -8.41%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 22.7% | 2026-04-20 06:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.61% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.53% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.85% | 15.0% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 29.06% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.27% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.67% | 16.3% | 2026-04-23 22:00 |