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AD Ceuta FC v Oviedo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Prediction 33.48%2.99fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.65%33.41%33.63%34.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.8838.46%36.40%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oviedo (Visit)
Prediction 38.18%2.62fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -0.944%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.01%38.43%38.01%41.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.392.402.5847.62%41.85%41.67%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.34%3.53fair odd
EV -0.814%
Edge -0.233%
Kelly -0.326%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.19%28.16%28.37%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.15%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AD Ceuta FC (Local): 33.48%; Oviedo (Visit): 38.18%; Draw: 28.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.814%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -6.07%E -2.47%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -7.22%E -2.97%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 11:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -7.22%E -2.97%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 11:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -7.22%E -2.97%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 11:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -7.22%E -2.97%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 11:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -7.22%E -2.97%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 11:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.74%EV -3.91%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.49%E -0.578%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.73%EV -4.50%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -4.58%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -4.58%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -16.00%E -7.27%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-18 11:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.26%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.26%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.59%EV -7.98%E -3.31%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.26%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.36%E -3.49%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 10:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.26%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.46%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -6.93%E -2.49%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.02%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -6.93%E -2.49%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.02%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -6.93%E -2.49%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.02%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.46%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 11:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.46%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.36%E -3.49%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.93%EV -7.60%E -3.14%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.93%EV -7.60%E -3.14%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.46%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-18 11:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-18 11:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-18 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-18 11:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -11.04%E -4.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -11.04%E -4.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -7.93%E -2.88%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -11.42%E -4.92%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-18 11:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.62%EV -8.27%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -5.31%E -2.14%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.36%E -3.49%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -12.18%E -5.30%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -0.814%E -0.233%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.36%E -3.49%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 11:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.36%E -3.49%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 11:57 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.36%E -3.49%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.51%E -4.01%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.51%E -4.01%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.98%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -14.09%E -6.26%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 08:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -9.60%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -14.09%E -6.26%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.27%EV -10.27%E -3.83%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -11.42%E -4.92%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-18 11:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.28%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.46%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -11.28%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.95%E -4.54%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -12.18%E -5.30%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -11.95%E -4.54%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.59%EV -14.86%E -6.66%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.69%EV -14.98%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-18 11:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -12.28%E -4.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.18%E -5.30%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.95%E -4.98%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -16.00%E -7.27%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-18 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.36%EV -12.95%E -4.98%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.06%EV -19.82%E -9.44%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.58%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-10-18 11:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.77% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.77% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.77% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.49% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-10-18 11:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-10-18 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.54% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 2.1% | 2026-10-18 12:00 |