Language:English
AD Ceuta FC v Córdoba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Prediction 32.40%3.09fair odd
EV +4.33%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.084%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.51%32.43%32.46%34.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.753.2238.46%35.96%36.36%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Córdoba (Visit)
Prediction 39.04%2.56fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.575%
Kelly +0.934%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.08%39.05%38.97%40.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.382.352.6047.62%42.00%42.55%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.56%3.50fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%28.53%28.57%30.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.33%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AD Ceuta FC (Local): 32.40%; Córdoba (Visit): 39.04%; Draw: 28.56%. For AD Ceuta FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.51%EV +4.33%E +1.34%K +1.95%G +0.084% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.43%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.07%EV -9.74%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.82%EV -1.51%E -0.495%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.64%EV -4.75%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.53%EV -3.17%E -0.934%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -3.77%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.87%E -3.34%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.69%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.27%EV -1.63%E -0.646%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -5.17%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.69%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.27%EV -1.63%E -0.646%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -5.17%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.40%EV -8.66%E -3.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 17:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.40%EV -8.66%E -3.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 17:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.69%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 17:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.69%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.51%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.32%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.66%E -2.69%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.17%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 07:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.17%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-25 17:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.17%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.75%EV -10.25%E -3.70%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.74%EV -11.39%E -5.02%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.51%EV -14.88%E -4.99%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-25 17:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.17%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.17%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.17%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.17%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 39.74%EV -13.73%E -6.21%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -12.52%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV +1.49%E +0.575%K +0.934%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.17%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -12.52%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV +1.49%E +0.575%K +0.934%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.17%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -12.52%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV +1.49%E +0.575%K +0.934%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.17%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -12.52%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV +1.49%E +0.575%K +0.934%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.17%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -12.52%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV +1.49%E +0.575%K +0.934%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.17%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.52%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-25 17:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.52%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -12.17%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.52%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.10%EV -12.52%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.52%EV -12.17%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.38%EV -15.74%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -14.14%E -5.34%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -0.458%E -0.180%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 17:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -14.14%E -5.34%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -0.458%E -0.180%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 17:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -14.14%E -5.34%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -0.458%E -0.180%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 17:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -14.14%E -5.34%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -0.458%E -0.180%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.34%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.85%EV -14.14%E -5.34%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.85%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.31%EV -15.16%E -5.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -14.79%E -5.62%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-25 17:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -14.79%E -5.62%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -18.02%E -8.58%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -17.73%E -6.16%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-02-25 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -15.76%E -6.06%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -3.19%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-25 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -15.76%E -6.06%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -3.19%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-25 17:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.90%EV -15.76%E -6.06%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.50%EV -18.02%E -8.58%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.60%EV -17.16%E -5.92%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.65% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48% | 0.3% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30% | 2.4% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |