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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Valencia v Real Madrid

2026-11-07 20:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Valencia (主队)

预测 12.54%7.97公平赔率
EV +0.325%
优势 +0.041%
Kelly +0.046%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 8.00

博彩公司预测分布
11.79%12.64%12.60%14.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.257.457.508.0016.00%13.43%13.33%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Real Madrid (客队)

预测 69.58%1.44公平赔率
EV -1.89%
优势 -1.34%
Kelly -4.61%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.41

博彩公司预测分布
67.70%69.53%69.60%71.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.331.331.4178.13%74.98%75.19%70.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 17.88%5.59公平赔率
EV +1.91%
优势 +0.335%
Kelly +0.406%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 5.70

博彩公司预测分布
16.54%17.83%17.79%18.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.655.195.255.7021.51%19.28%19.05%17.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Valencia (主队)：12.54%；Real Madrid (客队)：69.58%；平局：17.88%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.59。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为5.70，由此产生+1.91%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.95%E -0.793%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.89%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +1.91%E +0.335%K +0.406%G +0.008%6.1%2026-10-25 22:11
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.97%EV +0.325%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.93%EV -6.07%E -4.49%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.10%EV +0.119%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 21:27
1xBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32%EV +0.325%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.92%EV -1.89%E -1.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.76%EV -0.775%E -0.140%K -0.170%G +0.000%1.4%2026-10-25 21:46
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +0.325%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.67%E -0.303%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 21:27
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -5.95%E -0.793%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -8.15%E -6.18%K -25.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -1.67%E -0.303%K -0.371%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 21:27
Pinnacle🎯7.39I 13.53%NM 12.82%EV -7.32%E -0.991%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.69%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.49%EV -3.10%E -0.572%K -0.701%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 21:36
Marathon Bet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.29%EV -2.18%E -0.280%K -0.321%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -4.67%E -3.41%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -12.22%E -1.75%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.40%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -5.24%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 23:21
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.95%E -0.793%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -2.81%E -0.363%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.86%EV -6.07%E -4.49%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 21:27
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.95%E -0.793%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 22:00
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -18.49%E -2.84%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -6.07%E -4.49%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 21:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +0.325%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -5.95%E -0.793%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.76%E -5.05%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 23:21
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.95%E -0.793%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 20:50
picklebet_au🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.95%E -0.793%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 23:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.95%E -0.793%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 20:50
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -5.95%E -0.793%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.15%E -6.18%K -25.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 23:22
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -5.95%E -0.793%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.54%E -7.34%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 21:27
Unibet (FR)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.31%EV -9.71%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.23%EV -10.94%E -8.54%K -39.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -14.18%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 23:21
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 13.86%EV -21.62%E -3.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 67.70%EV -10.94%E -8.54%K -39.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.44%EV -15.97%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-25 23:21
Betclic (FR)🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 12.70%EV -13.47%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 68.46%EV -10.94%E -8.54%K -39.06%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.84%EV -16.87%E -3.63%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-25 23:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.88%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.46%3.0%2026-10-25 23:01
Smarkets◎6.40I 15.63%NM 13.41%1.28I 78.13%NM 67.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.51%16.5%2026-10-25 23:22