语言:简体中文
Valencia v Celta Vigo
胜负盘
Valencia (主队)
预测 39.83%2.51公平赔率
EV -4.00%
优势 -1.66%
Kelly -2.84%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.41
博彩公司预测分布
39.05%39.86%39.89%40.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.322.352.4146.51%43.06%42.55%41.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
Celta Vigo (客队)
预测 30.92%3.23公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.430%
Kelly -0.626%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.19
博彩公司预测分布
30.37%30.91%30.88%31.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.013.003.1936.36%33.27%33.33%31.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.25%3.42公平赔率
EV +2.37%
优势 +0.676%
Kelly +0.946%
增长率 +0.022%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
28.17%29.22%29.23%29.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.203.203.5033.33%31.30%31.25%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Valencia (主队)：39.83%；Celta Vigo (客队)：30.92%；平局：29.25%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.42。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.50，由此产生+2.37%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.92%EV -4.00%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.91%EV -1.37%E -0.430%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%EV +2.37%E +0.676%K +0.946%G +0.022% | 1.4% | 2026-08-02 11:04 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 11:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.15%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 11:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.90%EV -4.80%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.15%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.15%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.34%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 11:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.15%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 11:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 11:47 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -5.19%E -2.18%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 11:03 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 11:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.79%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -12.36%E -5.62%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.79%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 11:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.18%EV -11.57%E -5.21%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -10.34%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.06%EV -10.21%E -3.33%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 13:53 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -14.36%E -6.68%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.98%E -5.45%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-02 11:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 34.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 32.45% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.23% | 20.4% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 44.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 27.60% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 27.82% | 43.8% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |