L’École des cotes

Valencia v CA Osasuna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Valencia (Local)

Prévision 39.32%2.54cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.684%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.46%39.35%39.23%40.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.412.402.5044.44%41.45%41.67%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

CA Osasuna (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.17%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.455%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.41%30.21%30.22%31.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.133.133.2834.72%31.98%32.00%30.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.51%3.28cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.737%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.41%30.44%30.55%31.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.103.2035.71%32.62%32.26%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.71%E -0.684%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-01 15:09
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%EV -1.71%E -0.684%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 14:30
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%EV -1.71%E -0.684%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 14:29
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%EV -1.71%E -0.684%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 14:30
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.10%E -0.845%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.16%EV -2.55%E -0.788%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.73%EV -3.27%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-01 15:09
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.50%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:00
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.50%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:00
1xBet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.24%EV -2.89%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.38%EV -3.75%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.38%EV -2.66%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:09
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.24%EV -2.89%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.10%EV -2.85%E -0.885%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:09
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.09%EV -2.89%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.36%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.55%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 12:29
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.09%EV -2.89%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.36%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.55%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 12:29
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.61%EV -3.68%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.59%EV -1.04%E -0.316%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 14:39
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -3.68%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 14:34
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -3.68%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.94%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 06:15
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%EV -4.07%E -1.67%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 14:34
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:06
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 39.23%EV -4.86%E -2.01%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:09
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.99%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.47%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 14:34
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.99%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 14:34
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 04:49
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 11:29
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 14:34
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 18:00
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 14:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 04:10
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.36%E -0.737%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 11:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.94%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 14:29
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 14:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:59
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 10:29
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 10:29
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:34
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:34
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 14:29
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -6.43%E -2.70%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.36%E -0.737%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 22:10
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -6.43%E -2.70%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -6.43%E -2.70%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 14:29
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -6.43%E -2.70%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 14:29
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.61%E -3.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.36%E -0.737%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 15:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.61%E -3.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.94%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 14:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.61%E -3.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 10:29
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -8.79%E -3.79%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.94%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:08
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -11.54%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -13.11%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-01 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.4%2026-03-01 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.4%2026-03-01 15:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%1.5%2026-03-01 15:09