La escuela de los momios

Valencia v CA Osasuna

Inicio: 2026-03-01 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Valencia (Local)

Predicción 39.32%2.54momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.684%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.46%39.35%39.23%40.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.402.5044.44%41.45%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CA Osasuna (Visitante)

Predicción 30.17%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.316%
Kelly -0.455%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.41%30.21%30.22%31.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.133.133.2834.72%31.98%32.00%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.51%3.28momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.737%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.41%30.44%30.55%31.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.103.2035.71%32.62%32.26%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.71%E -0.684%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-01 15:09
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%EV -1.71%E -0.684%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 14:30
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%EV -1.71%E -0.684%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 14:29
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%EV -1.71%E -0.684%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 14:30
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.10%E -0.845%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.16%EV -2.55%E -0.788%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.73%EV -3.27%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-01 15:09
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.50%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:00
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.50%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:00
1xBet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.24%EV -2.89%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.38%EV -3.75%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.38%EV -2.66%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:09
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.24%EV -2.89%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.10%EV -2.85%E -0.885%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:09
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.09%EV -2.89%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.36%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.55%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 12:29
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.09%EV -2.89%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.36%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.55%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 12:29
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.61%EV -3.68%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.59%EV -1.04%E -0.316%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 14:39
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -3.68%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 14:34
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -3.68%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -6.94%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 06:15
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%EV -4.07%E -1.67%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 14:34
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:09
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:06
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 39.23%EV -4.86%E -2.01%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:09
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.99%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.47%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 14:34
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.99%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 14:34
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 04:49
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 11:29
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 14:34
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 18:00
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 14:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 04:10
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.36%E -0.737%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 11:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.94%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 14:29
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 14:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:59
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 10:29
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 10:29
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:34
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:34
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.64%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 14:29
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -6.43%E -2.70%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.36%E -0.737%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 22:10
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -6.43%E -2.70%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -6.43%E -2.70%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 14:29
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -6.43%E -2.70%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 14:29
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.61%E -3.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.36%E -0.737%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 15:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.61%E -3.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.94%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 14:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.61%E -3.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 10:29
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -8.79%E -3.79%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.94%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:08
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.99%E -3.39%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -11.54%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -13.11%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-01 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.4%2026-03-01 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.4%2026-03-01 15:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%1.5%2026-03-01 15:09