L’École des cotes

Sevilla v Valencia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sevilla (Local)

Prévision 43.22%2.31cote équitable
EV +1.56%
Avantage +0.664%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.32%43.24%43.26%44.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.202.202.3547.62%45.36%45.45%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Valencia (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.96%3.71cote équitable
EV -0.782%
Avantage -0.213%
Kelly -0.292%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.07%26.92%26.93%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.493.503.6831.25%28.65%28.57%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.82%3.35cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.482%
Kelly -0.691%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.75%29.84%29.80%31.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.133.103.3036.36%31.99%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.53%EV +1.56%E +0.664%K +1.16%G +0.018%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -4.29%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 19:09
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.84%EV +0.264%E +0.114%K +0.200%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%EV -4.29%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 19:10
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.84%EV +0.264%E +0.114%K +0.200%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%EV -4.29%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 19:09
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.05%EV -0.600%E -0.261%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -4.29%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 19:14
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -1.46%E -0.642%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 19:14
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -1.46%E -0.642%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 19:15
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -1.46%E -0.642%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 19:15
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -1.46%E -0.642%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 19:15
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.15%EV -2.76%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -2.94%E -0.816%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -3.08%E -0.948%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 19:35
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.94%EV -2.76%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.69%EV -2.40%E -0.663%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -5.17%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -2.76%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.04%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:09
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -2.76%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.04%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:09
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -2.76%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.04%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:09
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.59%EV -1.32%E -0.361%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.76%EV -2.48%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-21 19:50
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -9.04%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 19:14
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -1.59%E -0.436%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.01%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 19:54
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -1.59%E -0.436%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.01%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 19:54
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.34%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV -3.48%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.79%EV -3.68%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 19:48
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.95%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 19:49
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:54
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -4.06%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:54
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.04%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -0.782%E -0.213%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.63%EV -2.48%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 19:54
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.29%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 19:39
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -2.94%E -0.816%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 19:55
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:44
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.94%E -0.816%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -6.96%E -2.23%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:54
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.94%E -0.816%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 19:54
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 19:54
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 19:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:49
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:44
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:54
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 19:34
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 19:49
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -9.04%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 19:49
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 19:14
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 19:55
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.68%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 19:14
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -4.92%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.68%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 19:15
Unibet (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.69%EV -6.65%E -3.08%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.10%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 19:54
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -1.59%E -0.482%K -0.691%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:55
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.94%E -0.816%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.08%E -0.948%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:54
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.94%E -0.816%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 19:54
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.94%E -0.816%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 19:55
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 19:54
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 19:54
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 19:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 19:44
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.38%E -3.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.55%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 19:40
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.24%E -4.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.68%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.04%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -9.24%E -4.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -17.99%E -6.54%K -10.28%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-21 19:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.27%0.1%2026-03-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.27%0.1%2026-03-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-21 19:49
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-03-21 19:55
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-03-21 19:54
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.0%2026-03-21 19:55