La scuola delle quote

Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano

Inizio: 2026-03-08 17:34 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sevilla (Casa)

Previsione 37.05%2.70quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.403%
Kelly -0.645%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.84%37.11%37.01%39.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.542.552.6741.67%39.35%39.22%37.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rayo Vallecano (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.74%3.15quota equa
EV +5.05%
Vantaggio +1.53%
Kelly +2.19%
Crescita +0.110%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.32%31.74%31.76%33.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.972.953.3138.46%33.71%33.90%30.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.21%3.20quota equa
EV -1.68%
Vantaggio -0.533%
Kelly -0.781%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.33%31.16%31.23%32.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.023.003.1536.36%33.13%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.77%EV -9.60%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.32%EV +5.05%E +1.53%K +2.19%G +0.110%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.91%EV -1.99%E -0.634%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 17:29
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -4.04%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28%EV -1.61%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 17:29
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -4.41%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -1.61%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.30%EV -3.55%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -4.41%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -1.61%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.30%EV -3.55%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 17:30
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -1.61%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:30
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -1.61%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:29
Coolbet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.64%EV -4.41%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.53%EV -2.25%E -0.730%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83%EV -1.68%E -0.533%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 17:29
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -1.82%E -0.686%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-08 17:30
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -1.82%E -0.686%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-08 17:30
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 17:29
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.01%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -3.84%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 17:28
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.50%EV -1.08%E -0.403%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.37%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.13%EV -2.30%E -0.736%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-08 17:29
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.52%EV -1.82%E -0.686%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 17:29
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.52%EV -1.82%E -0.686%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 17:29
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.78%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.35%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:29
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.41%EV -2.62%E -0.839%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 17:29
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 17:29
Bovada2.53I 39.53%NM 37.41%EV -6.26%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 17:29
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:29
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.27%EV -9.60%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 17:29
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.08%E -4.62%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 17:30
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.41%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -5.42%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 17:30
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.41%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -5.42%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 17:29
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:29
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:30
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:29
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:29
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:29
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:29
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 17:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -2.93%E -1.12%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 17:29
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 17:29
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 17:30
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 17:29
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 17:29
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 17:30
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 17:29
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 17:30
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 17:29
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -8.60%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 17:29
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -8.60%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 17:29
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -8.60%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 17:29
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.60%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 17:29
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.60%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -6.63%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.20%EV -8.91%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.12%EV -7.30%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 17:28
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 17:29
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -2.56%E -0.973%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -11.13%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 17:17
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -17.48%E -6.72%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.09%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 17:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-03-08 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-03-08 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-03-08 17:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-03-08 17:30
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.62%2.1%2026-03-08 17:30
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-03-08 17:30