L’École des cotes

Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 17:34 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sevilla (Local)

Prévision 37.05%2.70cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -0.645%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.84%37.11%37.01%39.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.542.552.6741.67%39.35%39.22%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rayo Vallecano (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.74%3.15cote équitable
EV +5.05%
Avantage +1.53%
Kelly +2.19%
Croissance +0.110%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.32%31.74%31.76%33.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.972.953.3138.46%33.71%33.90%30.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.21%3.20cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.533%
Kelly -0.781%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.33%31.16%31.23%32.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.023.003.1536.36%33.13%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.77%EV -9.60%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.32%EV +5.05%E +1.53%K +2.19%G +0.110%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.91%EV -1.99%E -0.634%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 17:29
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -4.04%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28%EV -1.61%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 17:29
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -4.41%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -1.61%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.30%EV -3.55%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -4.41%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -1.61%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.30%EV -3.55%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 17:30
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -1.61%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:30
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -1.61%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:29
Coolbet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.64%EV -4.41%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.53%EV -2.25%E -0.730%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83%EV -1.68%E -0.533%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 17:29
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -1.82%E -0.686%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-08 17:30
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -1.82%E -0.686%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-08 17:30
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 17:29
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.01%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -3.84%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 17:28
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.50%EV -1.08%E -0.403%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.37%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.13%EV -2.30%E -0.736%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-08 17:29
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.52%EV -1.82%E -0.686%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 17:29
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.52%EV -1.82%E -0.686%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 17:29
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.78%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.35%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:29
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.41%EV -2.62%E -0.839%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 17:29
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 17:29
Bovada2.53I 39.53%NM 37.41%EV -6.26%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 17:29
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:29
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.27%EV -9.60%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 17:29
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.08%E -4.62%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 17:30
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.41%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -5.42%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 17:30
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.41%E -1.71%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -5.42%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 17:29
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:29
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:30
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:29
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:29
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:29
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 17:29
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.37%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 17:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -2.93%E -1.12%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 17:29
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 17:29
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 17:30
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 17:29
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 17:29
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 17:30
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 17:29
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 17:30
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 17:29
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -3.67%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -8.60%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 17:29
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -8.60%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 17:29
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -8.60%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 17:29
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.60%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 17:29
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.60%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -6.63%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.20%EV -8.91%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.12%EV -7.30%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 17:28
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 17:29
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -2.56%E -0.973%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -11.13%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 17:17
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -17.48%E -6.72%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.09%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-03-08 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-03-08 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-03-08 17:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-03-08 17:30
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.62%2.1%2026-03-08 17:30
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-03-08 17:30