L’École des cotes

Sevilla v Espanyol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 14:15 UTC

Score final : Sevilla 2–1 Espanyol

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sevilla (Local)

Prévision 47.90%2.09cote équitable
EV +0.597%
Avantage +0.284%
Kelly +0.543%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.83%47.93%47.96%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.992.002.1054.64%50.34%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Espanyol (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.62%4.42cote équitable
EV +0.676%
Avantage +0.152%
Kelly +0.196%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.59%22.64%22.54%24.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.104.104.4526.32%24.37%24.39%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.47%3.39cote équitable
EV -0.382%
Avantage -0.113%
Kelly -0.161%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.61%29.42%29.50%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.183.203.3835.71%31.41%31.25%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.33%EV +0.597%E +0.284%K +0.543%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.94%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 14:09
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.57%EV -0.361%E -0.173%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 14:09
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.57%EV -0.361%E -0.173%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.95%EV -0.840%E -0.406%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 14:09
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.32%EV -1.80%E -0.877%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -3.85%E -0.906%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 13:45
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57%EV -2.28%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:10
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57%EV -2.28%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:10
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57%EV -2.28%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:10
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.57%EV -2.28%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:09
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -2.72%E -0.632%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -2.74%E -0.830%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 13:59
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:09
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:09
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.34%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.39%EV -1.81%E -0.418%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.27%EV -2.15%E -0.648%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 14:05
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 48.02%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -2.74%E -0.830%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 13:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.02%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -2.74%E -0.830%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 13:44
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.81%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 13:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:34
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 14:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 13:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 13:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:54
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -11.77%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:44
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:49
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:49
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:44
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.64%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:09
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -14.03%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 14:09
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -14.03%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 14:09
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.72%EV -4.67%E -2.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.60%EV -2.94%E -0.686%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.68%EV -0.382%E -0.113%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 14:04
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.97%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -3.85%E -0.906%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:54
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.97%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -3.85%E -0.906%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.84%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 13:50
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.64%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:45
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:05
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:09
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.18%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.33%EV -5.10%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:09
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:09
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.46%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:44
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.84%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -11.77%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 14:10
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.69%EV +0.676%E +0.152%K +0.196%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%EV -1.27%E -0.378%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.69%EV +0.676%E +0.152%K +0.196%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%EV -1.27%E -0.378%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 14:09
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -0.455%E -0.103%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:54
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.86%EV -2.04%E -0.471%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 13:55
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.86%EV -2.04%E -0.471%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 13:49
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.21%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 13:49
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.03%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:10
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.91%EV -7.55%E -3.91%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -2.74%E -0.830%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 14:10
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.79%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.77%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 14:08
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.50%E -4.45%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:54
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.50%E -4.45%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -8.50%E -4.45%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -12.34%E -6.74%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -17.48%E -6.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-09 14:10
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-05-09 14:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-05-09 13:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.0%2026-05-09 13:50