مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Sociedad v CA Osasuna

البداية: 2026-03-15 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Sociedad (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.23%2.03السعر العادل
EV -0.559%
الأفضلية -0.277%
Kelly -0.548%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.89%49.11%49.16%51.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.911.912.0256.18%52.37%52.36%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

CA Osasuna (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.96%4.17السعر العادل
EV +4.20%
الأفضلية +0.967%
Kelly +1.26%
النمو +0.053%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.26%24.01%23.99%25.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.974.004.3528.57%25.19%25.00%22.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.82%3.73السعر العادل
EV -1.05%
الأفضلية -0.284%
Kelly -0.389%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.86%26.88%26.85%28.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.503.503.6933.33%28.58%28.57%27.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -6.96%E -3.68%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV +4.20%E +0.967%K +1.26%G +0.053%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -2.12%E -0.581%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 13:50
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.57%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%EV +3.01%E +0.699%K +0.911%G +0.027%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.74%EV -2.12%E -0.581%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-15 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +3.01%E +0.699%K +0.911%G +0.027%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%EV -2.12%E -0.581%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 19:05
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +3.01%E +0.699%K +0.911%G +0.027%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%EV -2.12%E -0.581%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 19:10
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.73%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%EV +0.851%E +0.202%K +0.265%G +0.002%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.26%EV -1.05%E -0.284%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 19:55
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -7.94%E -4.25%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV +0.612%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 13:50
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -7.94%E -4.25%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV +0.612%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 19:10
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -7.94%E -4.25%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV +0.612%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 19:10
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -7.94%E -4.25%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV +0.612%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 19:10
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +0.612%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +0.612%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +0.612%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 19:10
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.86%EV -2.04%E -1.02%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43%EV -0.586%E -0.141%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.70%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-15 19:55
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.00%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 19:55
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.44%EV -3.51%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%EV -2.12%E -0.581%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 10:20
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 14:10
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 19:40
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -9.91%E -5.42%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 19:10
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -10.40%E -5.72%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:10
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.00%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.43%EV -2.98%E -0.736%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:54
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.23%EV -3.51%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.65%EV -2.92%E -0.808%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 19:55
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.52%EV -4.50%E -2.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.46%EV -2.66%E -0.732%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 19:51
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.00%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 19:50
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.00%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 19:55
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 19:15
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.47%E -3.40%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 19:15
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.47%E -3.40%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 19:15
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.47%E -3.40%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 19:15
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.54%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.49%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 19:55
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.50%E -2.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 19:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.76%EV -4.00%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 19:50
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.42%E -5.12%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -9.42%E -5.12%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 19:10
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.98%EV -4.00%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.93%EV -4.50%E -2.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 08:55
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -7.45%E -3.96%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 19:50
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.00%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:50
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.00%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:50
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.00%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 19:45
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 19:45
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.47%E -3.40%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -4.00%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 19:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -4.00%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 19:55
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.91%E -5.42%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 19:15
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.91%E -5.42%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 17:15
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -0.559%E -0.277%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 19:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -0.559%E -0.277%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 19:50
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -1.54%E -0.772%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.82%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 19:55
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.47%E -3.40%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 19:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -4.00%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 19:50
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -12.37%E -6.95%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -11.37%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 19:44
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -5.48%E -2.85%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -9.91%E -5.42%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -16.16%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.55%E -6.52%K -9.78%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-15 19:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-15 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-15 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-15 19:55
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-15 19:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-03-15 19:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-15 19:20