默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Real Sociedad v Atlético Madrid

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 19:02 UTC

最终结果: Real Sociedad 0–3 Atlético Madrid

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Real Sociedad (主队)

预测 27.90%3.58公平赔率
EV +0.430%
优势 +0.119%
Kelly +0.165%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.42%27.89%27.93%29.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.383.403.6031.75%29.59%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlético Madrid (客队)

预测 45.30%2.21公平赔率
EV -1.69%
优势 -0.780%
Kelly -1.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.17

博彩公司预测分布
44.00%45.43%45.28%46.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.082.082.1751.28%48.17%48.08%46.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.80%3.73公平赔率
EV +0.498%
优势 +0.133%
Kelly +0.181%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.18%26.68%26.79%28.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.553.523.7530.30%28.17%28.41%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Real Sociedad (主队):27.90%;Atlético Madrid (客队):45.30%;平局:26.80%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.73。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.75,对应+0.498%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -0.965%E -0.272%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.48%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03%EV +0.498%E +0.133%K +0.181%G +0.001%2.5%2026-09-13 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -0.965%E -0.272%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.48%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03%EV +0.498%E +0.133%K +0.181%G +0.001%2.5%2026-09-13 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -0.965%E -0.272%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.48%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03%EV +0.498%E +0.133%K +0.181%G +0.001%2.5%2026-09-13 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -0.965%E -0.272%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.48%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03%EV +0.498%E +0.133%K +0.181%G +0.001%2.5%2026-09-13 18:45
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV +0.498%E +0.133%K +0.181%G +0.001%5.5%2026-09-13 18:50
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV +0.498%E +0.133%K +0.181%G +0.001%5.5%2026-09-13 18:40
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.31%EV -6.22%E -3.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -0.842%E -0.228%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 18:45
1xBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.71%EV -3.48%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.09%EV -5.77%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.20%EV -1.91%E -0.523%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 18:56
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -7.58%E -3.72%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -2.18%E -0.598%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 18:45
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -7.58%E -3.72%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -2.18%E -0.598%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 18:45
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -7.58%E -3.72%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -2.18%E -0.598%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 18:45
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -7.58%E -3.72%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -2.18%E -0.598%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.10%EV -2.60%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -2.99%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 18:55
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -2.60%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 18:56
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:50
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -5.77%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:25
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:50
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -11.66%E -5.98%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 18:56
Pinnacle🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 27.09%EV +0.151%E +0.042%K +0.058%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -3.50%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.24%EV -4.33%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-13 18:50
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.79%EV -2.36%E -0.674%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.82%EV -1.69%E -0.780%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-13 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 18:50
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.54%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.49%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -9.39%E -4.70%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -9.39%E -4.70%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -0.965%E -0.272%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.35%EV -3.50%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.67%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 18:56
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -0.965%E -0.272%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.35%EV -3.50%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.67%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 18:55
Everygame🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.36%E -0.674%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:38
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV +0.430%E +0.119%K +0.165%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:55
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV +0.430%E +0.119%K +0.165%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:55
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.36%E -0.674%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 18:31
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -5.77%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 18:40
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 10:50
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 18:41
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 18:40
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 18:55
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 18:40
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -5.77%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 18:40
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 18:50
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -6.67%E -3.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.39%E -4.70%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 18:45
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.36%E -0.674%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.39%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 18:49
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -5.77%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:36
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -5.77%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 18:55
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 18:35
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.39%E -4.70%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 18:50
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.86%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 18:56
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.54%2.28I 43.86%NM 44.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 27.02%-1.3%2026-09-13 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%0.3%2026-09-13 18:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.69%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-09-13 18:50
Matchbook◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.69%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-09-13 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-09-13 18:55
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-09-13 18:41