The School of Odds
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Real Racing Club de Santander v Alavés

2026-09-13 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)

Prediction 37.60%2.66fair odd
EV -0.742%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.453%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%37.60%37.54%38.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.512.502.6440.82%39.83%40.00%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alavés (Visit)

Prediction 34.40%2.91fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.808%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.69%34.40%34.70%35.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.712.702.8438.17%36.89%37.04%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.00%3.57fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.573%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.88%28.00%27.76%28.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.413.403.5230.30%29.33%29.41%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Racing Club de Santander (Local): 37.60%; Alavés (Visit): 34.40%; Draw: 28.00%. For Real Racing Club de Santander (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.64, with an expected value of -0.742%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%EV -0.742%E -0.281%K -0.453%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.69%EV -2.29%E -0.808%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.99%EV -1.44%E -0.410%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-30 17:50
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.49%EV -5.25%E -2.08%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -6.42%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 18:15
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.49%EV -5.25%E -2.08%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -6.42%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.39%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.00%E -0.572%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -7.11%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.00%E -0.572%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.67%E -1.31%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -8.83%E -3.33%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.00%E -0.572%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 18:00
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.11%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.11%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 18:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.11%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -9.52%E -3.62%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.89%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.86%E -3.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 37.02%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%16.4%2026-08-30 18:20