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Real Racing Club de Santander v Alavés

2026-09-12 12:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)

Prediction 37.78%2.65fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.91%37.82%37.73%38.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.5543.48%40.20%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alavés (Visit)

Prediction 34.08%2.93fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.46%34.06%34.25%35.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.702.752.8440.82%36.98%36.36%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.14%3.55fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.35%28.11%28.01%28.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.4632.26%30.47%30.30%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Racing Club de Santander (Local): 37.78%; Alavés (Visit): 34.08%; Draw: 28.14%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.46, with an expected value of -2.64%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 19:20
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:25
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:20
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:20
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:20
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:20
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.57%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 19:19
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.68%E -3.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.68%E -3.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 19:20
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.56%EV -3.21%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.54%EV -2.64%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 21:55
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.68%E -3.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -11.39%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -10.36%E -3.94%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -10.36%E -3.94%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.68%E -3.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 19:18
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -11.39%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -16.50%E -6.73%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-30 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 36.54%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.54%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.92%15.0%2026-08-31 01:10