The School of Odds
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Real Madrid v Sevilla

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 19:00 UTC

Final: Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Madrid (Local)

Prediction 76.66%1.30fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -9.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%76.76%76.54%78.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.221.2784.75%81.55%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sevilla (Visit)

Prediction 9.08%11.01fair odd
EV +8.95%
Edge +0.746%
Kelly +0.814%
Growth +0.073%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.88%9.06%9.17%10.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.7510.6611.0012.0011.43%9.38%9.09%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.26%7.01fair odd
EV +6.22%
Edge +0.835%
Kelly +0.964%
Growth +0.060%

assuming max odds 7.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.96%14.18%14.29%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.626.507.4516.67%15.10%15.38%13.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Madrid (Local): 76.66%; Sevilla (Visit): 9.08%; Draw: 14.26%. For Sevilla (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.01. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.10%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.07%EV +8.95%E +0.746%K +0.814%G +0.073%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.10%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.07%EV +8.95%E +0.746%K +0.814%G +0.073%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 18:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.10%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.07%EV +8.95%E +0.746%K +0.814%G +0.073%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.37%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV +8.95%E +0.746%K +0.814%G +0.073%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 18:29
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +8.95%E +0.746%K +0.814%G +0.073%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 18:52
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -7.24%E -5.98%K -34.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +8.95%E +0.746%K +0.814%G +0.073%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.76%E -0.557%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 18:29
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -7.24%E -5.98%K -34.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +8.95%E +0.746%K +0.814%G +0.073%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.76%E -0.557%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 18:29
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -7.24%E -5.98%K -34.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +8.95%E +0.746%K +0.814%G +0.073%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.76%E -0.557%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -7.24%E -5.98%K -34.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +8.95%E +0.746%K +0.814%G +0.073%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.76%E -0.557%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 18:29
Casumo🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -7.24%E -5.98%K -34.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +8.95%E +0.746%K +0.814%G +0.073%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.76%E -0.557%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 18:29
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.95%EV -4.17%E -3.34%K -16.68%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.29%EV +5.32%E +0.459%K +0.502%G +0.027%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.75%EV -7.04%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 18:54
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.46%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +4.41%E +0.384%K +0.420%G +0.019%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -5.90%E -0.894%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 18:54
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +4.41%E +0.384%K +0.420%G +0.019%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +4.41%E +0.384%K +0.420%G +0.019%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.12%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +4.41%E +0.384%K +0.420%G +0.019%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -8.75%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 18:29
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -7.24%E -5.98%K -34.47%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +4.41%E +0.384%K +0.420%G +0.019%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:29
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -7.24%E -5.98%K -34.47%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +4.41%E +0.384%K +0.420%G +0.019%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:29
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.25%EV -3.40%E -2.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.85%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-18 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.01%EV -3.40%E -2.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 14.17%EV -2.34%E -0.341%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-18 18:13
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.53%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 18:05
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -4.17%E -3.34%K -16.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 18:49
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -4.17%E -3.34%K -16.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 18:37
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.27%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -10.89%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 18:05
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 18:40
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.85%EV -8.77%E -7.37%K -46.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -3.76%E -0.557%K -0.654%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 18:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -9.54%E -8.08%K -52.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -8.00%E -6.67%K -40.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -10.89%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -8.00%E -6.67%K -40.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -10.89%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -8.00%E -6.67%K -40.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -0.127%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -10.89%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -9.54%E -8.08%K -52.99%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.59%EV -2.40%E -0.223%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.85%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.19%EV -4.67%E -0.444%K -0.491%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.96%EV +6.22%E +0.835%K +0.964%G +0.060%3.6%2026-10-18 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.85%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.19%EV -4.67%E -0.444%K -0.491%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.96%EV +6.22%E +0.835%K +0.964%G +0.060%3.6%2026-10-18 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -4.67%E -0.444%K -0.491%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -5.70%E -4.64%K -24.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -4.67%E -0.444%K -0.491%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.02%EV -3.76%E -0.557%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.40%EV -7.24%E -5.98%K -34.47%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -4.67%E -0.444%K -0.491%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -10.89%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.30%EV -2.64%E -2.08%K -9.77%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.45%EV -6.94%E -0.677%K -0.750%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.25%EV -3.05%E -0.448%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-18 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -4.17%E -3.34%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -5.90%E -0.894%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.17%E -3.34%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:24
picklebet_au🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.17%E -3.34%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:39
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 18:45
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 18:49
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.17%E -3.34%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -14.45%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.17%E -3.34%K -16.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -14.45%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 18:54
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -8.00%E -6.67%K -40.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 18:17
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.45%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.00%E -6.67%K -40.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.00%E -6.67%K -40.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.21%E -0.921%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -14.45%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 18:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.95%EV -8.00%E -6.67%K -40.02%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.35%EV -11.48%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.70%EV -11.60%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 18:49
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.27%EV -8.00%E -6.67%K -40.02%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.43%EV -11.93%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -8.75%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 18:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.47%E -5.30%K -29.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -13.75%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 18:44
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -5.70%E -4.64%K -24.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -13.75%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -10.89%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.68%EV -8.00%E -6.67%K -40.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -13.75%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -3.76%E -0.557%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 18:14
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.23%EV -2.64%E -2.08%K -9.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -18.29%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -3.76%E -0.557%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -4.17%E -3.34%K -16.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.29%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -0.197%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:55
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.17%E -3.34%K -16.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -18.29%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -7.33%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 18:09
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.52%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -20.56%E -2.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -3.05%E -0.448%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.52%EV -4.94%E -3.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -20.56%E -2.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -3.05%E -0.448%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.28%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-10-18 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.28%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-10-18 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.28%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-10-18 18:55
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.28%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-10-18 18:20
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%0.9%2026-10-18 18:55
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.39%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.85%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-10-18 18:05