赔率学院

Real Madrid v Girona

开赛时间: 2026-04-10 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Real Madrid (主队)

预测 72.01%1.39公平赔率
EV -0.632%
优势 -0.458%
Kelly -1.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布
68.34%71.69%72.09%74.80%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.241.311.301.3880.65%76.50%76.92%72.46%MIN均值中位数MAX

Girona (客队)

预测 11.80%8.48公平赔率
EV +12.08%
优势 +1.27%
Kelly +1.42%
增长率 +0.172%

假设最高赔率为 9.50

博彩公司预测分布
10.00%12.04%11.77%14.60%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
6.408.118.459.5015.63%12.32%11.83%10.53%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 16.20%6.17公平赔率
EV +5.28%
优势 +0.812%
Kelly +0.960%
增长率 +0.051%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.71%16.27%16.14%19.07%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.505.855.956.5022.22%17.08%16.81%15.38%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -8.55%E -6.73%K -31.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV +12.08%E +1.27%K +1.42%G +0.172%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.23%E +0.197%K +0.234%G +0.003%5.3%2026-04-10 18:55
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.68%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.36%EV +9.13%E +0.987%K +1.11%G +0.101%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 18:44
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.68%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.36%EV +9.13%E +0.987%K +1.11%G +0.101%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 18:36
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.95%EV -3.51%E -2.62%K -10.33%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.62%EV +8.54%E +0.928%K +1.04%G +0.089%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.43%EV -3.63%E -0.610%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 18:55
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 73.54%EV -4.95%E -3.75%K -15.48%G +0.000%9.14I 10.94%NM 10.62%EV +7.83%E +0.857%K +0.962%G +0.075%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.84%EV -0.715%E -0.117%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-10 18:54
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.57%EV -3.51%E -2.62%K -10.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.81%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.62%EV -5.25%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-10 18:55
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -4.23%E -3.18%K -12.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.79%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-10 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.38%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.74%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV +5.28%E +0.812%K +0.960%G +0.051%3.4%2026-04-10 18:55
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 74.38%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.74%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV +5.28%E +0.812%K +0.960%G +0.051%3.4%2026-04-10 18:55
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.38%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.74%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV +5.28%E +0.812%K +0.960%G +0.051%3.4%2026-04-10 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.07%EV -4.95%E -3.75%K -15.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.21%EV -3.63%E -0.610%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 18:50
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.07%EV -4.95%E -3.75%K -15.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.21%EV -3.63%E -0.610%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.67%EV -7.83%E -6.12%K -27.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV +5.28%E +0.812%K +0.960%G +0.051%4.6%2026-04-10 18:55
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 73.96%EV -7.83%E -6.12%K -27.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -1.20%E -0.197%K -0.235%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 18:20
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 73.96%EV -7.83%E -6.12%K -27.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -1.20%E -0.197%K -0.235%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 18:20
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 73.96%EV -7.83%E -6.12%K -27.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -1.20%E -0.197%K -0.235%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 18:20
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -7.11%E -5.51%K -24.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.87%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 18:31
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -8.55%E -6.73%K -31.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 18:15
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -8.55%E -6.73%K -31.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -8.55%E -6.73%K -31.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 18:15
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.27%E -7.36%K -35.67%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:55
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.27%E -7.36%K -35.67%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:20
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 73.99%EV -10.71%E -8.64%K -44.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV +6.18%E +0.687%K +0.773%G +0.048%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -6.06%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:20
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -4.23%E -3.18%K -12.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +0.281%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.92%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 18:55
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.46%EV -5.67%E -4.33%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +0.281%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.37%EV -6.06%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:55
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.281%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -10.92%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 18:31
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -10.71%E -8.64%K -44.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +0.281%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 18:55
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -10.71%E -8.64%K -44.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +0.281%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 18:55
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 72.06%EV -4.95%E -3.75%K -15.48%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.26%EV -0.309%E -0.037%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV -7.68%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 18:55
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.40%EV -3.51%E -2.62%K -10.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV -5.62%E -0.702%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -6.87%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 18:55
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -5.67%E -4.33%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -5.62%E -0.702%K -0.803%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -5.62%E -0.702%K -0.803%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 18:45
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -5.62%E -0.702%K -0.803%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 18:54
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -5.62%E -0.702%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -10.92%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 18:55
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -5.62%E -0.702%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -10.92%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -5.62%E -0.702%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -10.92%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 18:50
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.83%E -6.12%K -27.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -5.62%E -0.702%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -6.06%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 18:55
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.91%EV -4.95%E -3.75%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -8.57%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.92%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 18:55
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.60%EV -4.23%E -3.18%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53%EV -10.34%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 18:55
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 71.89%EV -8.55%E -6.73%K -31.68%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.09%EV -10.93%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -7.68%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:55
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -4.23%E -3.18%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.87%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 18:55
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -5.67%E -4.33%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -10.92%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 18:55
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.86%EV -2.79%E -2.07%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.93%EV -12.70%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.21%EV -4.44%E -0.753%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 18:55
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.86%EV -2.79%E -2.07%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.93%EV -12.70%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.21%EV -4.44%E -0.753%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -4.23%E -3.18%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -3.51%E -2.62%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.87%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:50
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -4.95%E -3.75%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -9.99%E -7.99%K -39.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -27.12%E -6.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-10 18:00
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.50%EV -4.23%E -3.18%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -20.36%E -3.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.92%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 18:55
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -2.07%E -1.52%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -23.31%E -3.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 18:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -2.07%E -1.52%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -23.31%E -3.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -2.82%E -0.470%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 18:53
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -0.632%E -0.458%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -23.31%E -3.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -10.92%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -2.07%E -1.52%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -23.31%E -3.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.87%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.06%EV -5.67%E -4.33%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -23.31%E -3.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -6.06%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:55
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -6.39%E -4.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -23.31%E -3.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.02%E -3.80%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-10 18:55
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 68.71%EV -2.07%E -1.52%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -24.49%E -3.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.30%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.71%EV -2.07%E -1.52%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -24.49%E -3.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.30%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.47%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.41%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.12%0.1%2026-04-10 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.31%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.61%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%0.3%2026-04-10 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.77%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-04-10 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.77%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-04-10 18:40
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-10 18:55
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 73.58%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.77%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.66%2.2%2026-04-10 18:30