A Escola das Odds

Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao

Início: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Final: Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Bilbao

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Real Madrid (Local)

Previsão 61.68%1.62odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.822%
Kelly -2.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.69%61.62%61.67%63.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.54%65.36%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletic Bilbao (Visitante)

Previsão 18.18%5.50odd justa
EV +4.56%
Vantagem +0.793%
Kelly +0.960%
Crescimento +0.044%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.58%18.21%18.17%19.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.235.255.7522.22%19.14%19.05%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.14%4.97odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.270%
Kelly -0.339%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.39%20.17%20.16%22.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.634.604.9026.67%21.60%21.74%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV +4.56%E +0.793%K +0.960%G +0.044%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -3.34%E -0.695%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.77%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +1.83%E +0.327%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.86%EV -1.32%E -0.270%K -0.339%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.77%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +1.83%E +0.327%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.86%EV -1.32%E -0.270%K -0.339%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 18:39
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.77%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +1.83%E +0.327%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.86%EV -1.32%E -0.270%K -0.339%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.38%EV -6.87%E -4.55%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.09%EV +1.83%E +0.327%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.53%EV -1.32%E -0.270%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.58%EV -6.87%E -4.55%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV +1.83%E +0.327%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.58%EV -6.87%E -4.55%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV +1.83%E +0.327%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.58%EV -6.87%E -4.55%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV +1.83%E +0.327%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:37
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.58%EV -6.87%E -4.55%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV +1.83%E +0.327%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.75%EV -3.17%E -2.02%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV +0.014%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -5.35%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:38
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +0.014%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -4.34%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +0.014%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -1.32%E -0.270%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +0.014%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:49
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +0.014%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 17:59
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.014%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:29
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.014%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:29
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.73%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -1.80%E -0.334%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.54%EV -9.33%E -6.35%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -1.80%E -0.334%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.54%EV -9.33%E -6.35%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -1.80%E -0.334%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.17%E -2.02%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.11%EV -2.71%E -0.507%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.18%EV -3.34%E -0.695%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:28
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.07%EV -3.78%E -2.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.17%EV -3.08%E -0.577%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76%EV -1.32%E -0.270%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 18:20
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.07%EV -3.78%E -2.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.17%EV -3.08%E -0.577%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76%EV -1.32%E -0.270%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 18:20
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -3.17%E -2.02%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.26%EV -3.62%E -0.684%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.12%EV -3.14%E -0.652%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -8.10%E -5.44%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -3.62%E -0.684%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -8.10%E -5.44%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -3.62%E -0.684%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:39
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -8.10%E -5.44%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -3.62%E -0.684%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:39
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.36%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.47%EV -1.32%E -0.270%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:39
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.95%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.88%EV -3.34%E -0.695%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:19
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -4.34%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:19
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.41%EV -6.87%E -4.55%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -3.34%E -0.695%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:48
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.41%EV -3.78%E -2.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -5.44%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.34%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 18:29
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.43%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.31%EV -5.44%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.26%EV -5.35%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.15%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -5.44%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -3.34%E -0.695%K -0.878%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:20
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -8.72%E -5.89%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -5.44%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -12.40%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:39
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.52%EV -1.32%E -0.822%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.69%EV -5.80%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.78%EV -6.16%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.32%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.46%EV -6.35%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -5.35%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:19
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -6.87%E -4.55%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -10.57%E -7.29%K -23.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.80%EV -13.41%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -3.34%E -0.695%K -0.878%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -4.34%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:20
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.34%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -3.17%E -2.02%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.70%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -3.34%E -0.695%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:20
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -4.40%E -2.84%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:09
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:29
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -4.34%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 18:10
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.63%EV -6.25%E -4.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:09
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.38%EV -8.10%E -5.44%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 18:20
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.41%EV -2.55%E -1.61%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -9.99%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -5.35%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:19
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.41%EV -2.55%E -1.61%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -9.99%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -5.35%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -12.71%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -5.35%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -5.63%E -3.68%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.71%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -7.48%E -4.99%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.80%E -2.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-23 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -11.18%E -7.77%K -25.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -24.48%E -6.53%K -8.90%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-23 18:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%0.5%2026-05-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%0.5%2026-05-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%0.5%2026-05-23 18:20
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%0.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.25%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-05-23 18:49