La scuola delle quote

Real Betis v Rayo Vallecano

Inizio: 2026-02-21 15:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Betis (Casa)

Previsione 49.61%2.02quota equa
EV -1.78%
Vantaggio -0.897%
Kelly -1.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.83%49.59%49.59%51.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.891.901.9855.87%52.99%52.63%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rayo Vallecano (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.08%4.33quota equa
EV +8.02%
Vantaggio +1.71%
Kelly +2.18%
Crescita +0.175%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.74%23.13%23.10%25.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.124.134.6827.78%24.25%24.24%21.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.31%3.66quota equa
EV +1.05%
Vantaggio +0.284%
Kelly +0.389%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.73%27.28%27.30%28.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.463.493.7032.26%28.92%28.69%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.55%EV -4.75%E -2.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.74%EV +8.02%E +1.71%K +2.18%G +0.175%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.71%EV -7.69%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:10
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.21%EV -4.75%E -2.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%EV +3.86%E +0.859%K +1.10%G +0.043%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%EV -0.315%E -0.086%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.7%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.60%EV -6.24%E -3.30%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%EV +3.86%E +0.859%K +1.10%G +0.043%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.315%E -0.086%K -0.119%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-21 15:10
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.60%EV -6.24%E -3.30%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%EV +3.86%E +0.859%K +1.10%G +0.043%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.315%E -0.086%K -0.119%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.74%EV -6.74%E -3.58%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%EV +3.86%E +0.859%K +1.10%G +0.043%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.65%EV -0.315%E -0.086%K -0.119%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-21 15:10
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%EV -4.26%E -2.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%EV -4.26%E -2.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 10:45
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.57%EV -2.77%E -1.41%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.44%EV -0.060%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.00%EV -5.23%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -0.753%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -3.05%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:09
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -9.71%E -5.34%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.753%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:25
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -11.20%E -6.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -0.753%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -11.20%E -6.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -0.753%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.02%EV -1.78%E -0.897%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV -1.91%E -0.449%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 14:48
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.72%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.91%E -0.449%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -1.91%E -0.449%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:09
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -1.91%E -0.449%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.50%EV -2.77%E -1.41%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -3.06%E -0.729%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.40%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 15:10
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.06%E -0.729%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:05
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.06%E -0.729%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.23%E -3.87%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.06%E -0.729%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.06%E -0.729%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:05
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 49.33%EV -4.75%E -2.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -4.21%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:09
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 11:55
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:10
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -1.68%E -0.467%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 05:29
Sky Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -7.73%E -4.16%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.23%E -3.87%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:05
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 06:15
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -8.83%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:10
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -8.83%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -8.83%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:10
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV +1.05%E +0.284%K +0.389%G +0.004%5.0%2026-02-21 15:05
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -1.68%E -0.467%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:05
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -13.45%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:05
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -4.26%E -2.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -13.45%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -4.26%E -2.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -14.60%E -3.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -16.91%E -4.70%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.34%E -4.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-21 12:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-02-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-02-21 15:05