L’École des cotes

Real Betis v Rayo Vallecano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Prévision 49.61%2.02cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.897%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.83%49.59%49.59%51.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.891.901.9855.87%52.99%52.63%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rayo Vallecano (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.08%4.33cote équitable
EV +8.02%
Avantage +1.71%
Kelly +2.18%
Croissance +0.175%

avec la cote maximale 4.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.74%23.13%23.10%25.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.124.134.6827.78%24.25%24.24%21.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.31%3.66cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.284%
Kelly +0.389%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.73%27.28%27.30%28.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.493.7032.26%28.92%28.69%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.55%EV -4.75%E -2.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.74%EV +8.02%E +1.71%K +2.18%G +0.175%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.71%EV -7.69%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:10
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.21%EV -4.75%E -2.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%EV +3.86%E +0.859%K +1.10%G +0.043%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%EV -0.315%E -0.086%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.7%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.60%EV -6.24%E -3.30%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%EV +3.86%E +0.859%K +1.10%G +0.043%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.315%E -0.086%K -0.119%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-21 15:10
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.60%EV -6.24%E -3.30%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%EV +3.86%E +0.859%K +1.10%G +0.043%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.315%E -0.086%K -0.119%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.74%EV -6.74%E -3.58%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%EV +3.86%E +0.859%K +1.10%G +0.043%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.65%EV -0.315%E -0.086%K -0.119%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-21 15:10
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%EV -4.26%E -2.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%EV -4.26%E -2.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 10:45
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +0.401%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.57%EV -2.77%E -1.41%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.44%EV -0.060%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.00%EV -5.23%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -0.753%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -3.05%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:09
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -9.71%E -5.34%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.753%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:25
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -11.20%E -6.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -0.753%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -11.20%E -6.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -0.753%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.02%EV -1.78%E -0.897%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV -1.91%E -0.449%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 14:48
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.72%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -1.91%E -0.449%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -1.91%E -0.449%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:09
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -1.91%E -0.449%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.50%EV -2.77%E -1.41%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -3.06%E -0.729%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.40%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 15:10
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.06%E -0.729%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:05
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.06%E -0.729%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.23%E -3.87%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.06%E -0.729%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.06%E -0.729%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:05
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 49.33%EV -4.75%E -2.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -4.21%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:09
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 11:55
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:10
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -1.68%E -0.467%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 05:29
Sky Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -7.73%E -4.16%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.23%E -3.87%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:05
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 06:15
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -8.83%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:10
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -8.83%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -9.22%E -5.04%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -8.83%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:10
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV +1.05%E +0.284%K +0.389%G +0.004%5.0%2026-02-21 15:05
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -1.68%E -0.467%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.74%E -3.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:05
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.26%E -1.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -13.45%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:05
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -4.26%E -2.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -13.45%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -4.26%E -2.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -14.60%E -3.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -16.91%E -4.70%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.34%E -4.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-21 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-02-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-02-21 15:05