L’École des cotes

Real Betis v Levante

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Score final : Real Betis 2–1 Levante

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Prévision 41.20%2.43cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.643%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.39%41.25%41.25%43.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.302.302.3948.78%43.57%43.48%41.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Levante (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.04%3.22cote équitable
EV +0.248%
Avantage +0.077%
Kelly +0.111%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.80%31.08%30.99%33.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.993.003.2338.02%33.44%33.33%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.77%3.60cote équitable
EV -0.045%
Avantage -0.012%
Kelly -0.017%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%27.67%27.76%29.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.49%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.13%EV +0.248%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.57%EV -1.99%E -0.563%K -0.786%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.36%EV -0.683%E -0.213%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%EV -2.23%E -0.709%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -1.43%E -0.404%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-23 17:49
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%EV -2.23%E -0.709%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -1.43%E -0.404%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-23 17:49
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%EV -2.23%E -0.709%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -1.43%E -0.404%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.32%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.32%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.35%EV -1.43%E -0.404%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 17:49
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.52%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:49
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:09
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:10
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.62%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 18:38
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -1.54%E -0.643%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.58%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.67%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.75%EV -3.38%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.58%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.67%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.75%EV -3.38%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:48
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:09
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.91%EV -5.65%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -1.43%E -0.404%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.74%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:48
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:49
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:49
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:50
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:49
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:09
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.71%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.90%EV -7.82%E -2.63%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 17:49
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 17:49
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 18:49
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -9.37%E -3.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -9.37%E -3.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -9.99%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.045%E -0.012%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:00
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.99%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.99%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 17:49
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.99%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.99%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 17:49
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -10.61%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:59
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.61%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 17:49
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -10.61%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 17:49
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:00
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:19
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 17:49
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -14.65%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.045%E -0.012%K -0.017%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.54%E -7.58%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -14.65%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-23 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -16.20%E -6.00%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.48%E -6.42%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -18.37%E -6.99%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -16.70%E -5.57%K -8.35%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%0.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26%2.6%2026-05-23 18:49