La escuela de los momios

Real Betis v Levante

Inicio: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Final: Real Betis 2–1 Levante

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Predicción 41.20%2.43momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.643%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.39%41.25%41.25%43.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.302.302.3948.78%43.57%43.48%41.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Levante (Visitante)

Predicción 31.04%3.22momio equitativo
EV +0.248%
Ventaja +0.077%
Kelly +0.111%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.80%31.08%30.99%33.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.993.003.2338.02%33.44%33.33%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.77%3.60momio equitativo
EV -0.045%
Ventaja -0.012%
Kelly -0.017%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%27.67%27.76%29.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.49%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.13%EV +0.248%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.57%EV -1.99%E -0.563%K -0.786%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.36%EV -0.683%E -0.213%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%EV -2.23%E -0.709%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -1.43%E -0.404%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-23 17:49
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%EV -2.23%E -0.709%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -1.43%E -0.404%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-23 17:49
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%EV -2.23%E -0.709%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -1.43%E -0.404%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.32%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.32%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.35%EV -1.43%E -0.404%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 17:49
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.52%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 18:49
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:49
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:09
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:10
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.62%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 18:38
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -1.54%E -0.643%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.58%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.67%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.75%EV -3.38%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.58%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.67%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.75%EV -3.38%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:48
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:09
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.91%EV -5.65%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -1.43%E -0.404%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.74%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:48
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:49
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:49
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:50
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:49
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:09
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.71%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.90%EV -7.82%E -2.63%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 17:49
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 17:49
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 18:49
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -9.37%E -3.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -9.37%E -3.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -9.99%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.045%E -0.012%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:00
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.99%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.99%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 17:49
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.99%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.99%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 17:49
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.95%E -0.819%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -10.61%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 17:59
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.61%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 17:49
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -8.13%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -10.61%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 17:49
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:00
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:19
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 17:49
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -14.65%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.045%E -0.012%K -0.017%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.54%E -7.58%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -14.65%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-23 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -16.20%E -6.00%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.48%E -6.42%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -18.37%E -6.99%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -16.70%E -5.57%K -8.35%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%0.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26%2.6%2026-05-23 18:49