La scuola delle quote

Real Betis v Elche CF

Inizio: 2026-05-12 18:00 UTC

Finale: Real Betis 2–1 Elche CF

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Betis (Casa)

Previsione 58.45%1.71quota equa
EV -1.80%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -2.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.27%58.50%58.39%59.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.611.611.6865.36%62.12%62.11%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elche CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.79%5.32quota equa
EV +3.34%
Vantaggio +0.608%
Kelly +0.743%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.72%18.71%18.89%19.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.035.005.5022.22%19.86%20.00%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.76%4.39quota equa
EV +0.147%
Vantaggio +0.033%
Kelly +0.043%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.78%22.79%22.72%24.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.154.204.4028.57%24.12%23.81%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.07%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.72%EV +3.34%E +0.608%K +0.743%G +0.025%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 17:55
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.42%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.07%EV +1.46%E +0.271%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.51%EV -5.54%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.95%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98%EV +1.46%E +0.271%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%EV +0.147%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-12 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.48%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.84%EV +1.46%E +0.271%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 17:25
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.48%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.84%EV +1.46%E +0.271%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 17:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.47%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV +1.46%E +0.271%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 17:25
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.00%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.48%EV -0.417%E -0.079%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%EV -0.991%E -0.228%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.44%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -0.417%E -0.079%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%EV -0.991%E -0.228%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 17:50
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.44%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -0.417%E -0.079%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%EV -0.991%E -0.228%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 17:50
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.36%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 17:56
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -1.36%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -2.13%E -0.495%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 17:50
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.36%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 17:55
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.57%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.66%EV -2.11%E -0.405%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.77%EV -2.81%E -0.658%K -0.860%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 17:55
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -4.14%E -2.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 17:56
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -4.14%E -2.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 17:55
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -4.17%E -0.819%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:50
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -4.17%E -0.819%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:50
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -4.17%E -0.819%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:50
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -4.17%E -0.819%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 17:50
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -4.14%E -2.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 17:56
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 17:50
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 15:40
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 17:15
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 15:10
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 17:55
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 17:50
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 17:21
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 17:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 17:16
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:10
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.40%E -6.07%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 17:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.33%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.46%EV -6.99%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -5.54%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 17:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 57.33%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.46%EV -6.99%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -5.54%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -4.14%E -2.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -7.93%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 17:53
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.42%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.79%EV -8.87%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 17:55
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.86%EV -1.45%E -0.334%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 17:21
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -1.45%E -0.334%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 17:50
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.65%E -4.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 17:56
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 17:50
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 17:50
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.83%EV -7.65%E -4.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 17:54
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 17:50
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.23%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 17:55
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 17:15
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 17:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.57%E -6.91%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -15.45%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-12 16:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-05-12 17:55
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-05-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-05-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-05-12 17:55
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-12 17:56
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-05-12 17:55