L’École des cotes

Real Betis v Elche CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 18:00 UTC

Score final : Real Betis 2–1 Elche CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Prévision 58.45%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%58.50%58.39%59.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.611.611.6865.36%62.12%62.11%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elche CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.79%5.32cote équitable
EV +3.34%
Avantage +0.608%
Kelly +0.743%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.72%18.71%18.89%19.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.035.005.5022.22%19.86%20.00%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.76%4.39cote équitable
EV +0.147%
Avantage +0.033%
Kelly +0.043%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.78%22.79%22.72%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.154.204.4028.57%24.12%23.81%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.07%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.72%EV +3.34%E +0.608%K +0.743%G +0.025%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 17:55
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.42%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.07%EV +1.46%E +0.271%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.51%EV -5.54%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.95%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98%EV +1.46%E +0.271%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%EV +0.147%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-12 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.48%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.84%EV +1.46%E +0.271%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 17:25
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.48%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.84%EV +1.46%E +0.271%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 17:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.47%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV +1.46%E +0.271%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 17:25
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.00%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.48%EV -0.417%E -0.079%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%EV -0.991%E -0.228%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.44%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -0.417%E -0.079%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%EV -0.991%E -0.228%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 17:50
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.44%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -0.417%E -0.079%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%EV -0.991%E -0.228%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 17:50
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.36%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 17:56
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -1.36%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -2.13%E -0.495%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 17:50
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.36%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 17:55
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.57%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.66%EV -2.11%E -0.405%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.77%EV -2.81%E -0.658%K -0.860%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 17:55
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -4.14%E -2.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 17:56
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -4.14%E -2.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 17:55
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -3.27%E -0.769%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.30%E -0.441%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -4.17%E -0.819%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:50
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -4.17%E -0.819%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:50
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -4.17%E -0.819%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:50
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -4.17%E -0.819%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 17:50
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -4.14%E -2.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 17:56
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 17:50
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 15:40
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 17:15
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 15:10
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 17:55
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 17:50
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 17:21
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 17:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 17:16
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:10
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.40%E -6.07%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 17:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.33%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.46%EV -6.99%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -5.54%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 17:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 57.33%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.46%EV -6.99%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -5.54%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -4.14%E -2.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -7.93%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 17:53
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.42%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.79%EV -8.87%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 17:55
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.86%EV -1.45%E -0.334%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 17:21
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -1.45%E -0.334%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 17:50
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -7.65%E -4.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 17:56
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 17:50
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 17:50
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.83%EV -7.65%E -4.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 17:54
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.40%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 17:50
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.23%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 17:55
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 17:15
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 17:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.75%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.57%E -6.91%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -15.45%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-12 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-05-12 17:55
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-05-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-05-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-05-12 17:55
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-12 17:56
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-05-12 17:55