La scuola delle quote

Rayo Vallecano v Girona

Inizio: 2026-05-11 19:00 UTC

Finale: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Girona

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Casa)

Previsione 41.98%2.38quota equa
EV +0.755%
Vantaggio +0.314%
Kelly +0.539%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.56%42.04%41.99%43.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.37%44.44%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Girona (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.84%3.47quota equa
EV +0.944%
Vantaggio +0.270%
Kelly +0.378%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.64%28.79%28.76%30.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.263.253.5034.72%30.71%30.77%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.18%3.43quota equa
EV -0.796%
Vantaggio -0.234%
Kelly -0.332%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.75%29.17%29.25%30.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.12%30.77%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.56%EV +0.755%E +0.314%K +0.539%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.95%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-11 18:49
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.24%EV -1.34%E -0.572%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-11 18:49
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.18%E -0.937%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -3.67%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.37%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-11 18:54
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:50
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.29%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.79%EV +0.944%E +0.270%K +0.378%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-11 18:45
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.70%EV -2.52%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%EV -2.84%E -0.852%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:49
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 18:54
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:34
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:50
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:49
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 18:54
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 18:54
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 18:50
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -11.01%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:47
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:49
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.88%EV -4.70%E -2.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.89%EV +0.656%E +0.188%K +0.263%G +0.002%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.23%EV -2.84%E -0.852%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-11 18:49
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 41.89%EV -4.70%E -2.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 18:50
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 41.80%EV -5.12%E -2.27%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 18:54
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV +0.367%E +0.106%K +0.148%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV +0.367%E +0.106%K +0.148%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 18:49
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -0.796%E -0.234%K -0.332%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 18:48
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 18:55
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:34
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:54
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.94%E -0.571%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 18:54
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.94%E -0.571%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 18:54
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:54
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:54
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:50
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:54
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:50
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:49
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 18:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:50
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:54
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -2.25%E -0.673%K -0.959%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:54
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:54
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:55
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -12.03%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 18:54
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.98%EV -4.25%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.21%EV -7.21%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:52
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 18:49
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:44
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-11 18:34
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -15.97%E -5.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-11 18:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%0.4%2026-05-11 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%0.4%2026-05-11 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%0.4%2026-05-11 18:54
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-05-11 18:49
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.0%2026-05-11 18:49
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-05-11 18:55