مدرسة الاحتمالات

Rayo Vallecano v Girona

البداية: 2026-05-11 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Girona

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.98%2.38السعر العادل
EV +0.755%
الأفضلية +0.314%
Kelly +0.539%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.56%42.04%41.99%43.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.37%44.44%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Girona (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.84%3.47السعر العادل
EV +0.944%
الأفضلية +0.270%
Kelly +0.378%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.64%28.79%28.76%30.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.263.253.5034.72%30.71%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.18%3.43السعر العادل
EV -0.796%
الأفضلية -0.234%
Kelly -0.332%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.75%29.17%29.25%30.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.12%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.56%EV +0.755%E +0.314%K +0.539%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.95%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-11 18:49
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -0.085%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.24%EV -1.34%E -0.572%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-11 18:49
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.18%E -0.937%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -3.67%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.37%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-11 18:54
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:50
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.29%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.79%EV +0.944%E +0.270%K +0.378%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-11 18:45
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.70%EV -2.52%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%EV -2.84%E -0.852%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:49
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 18:54
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:34
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:50
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:49
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.69%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 18:54
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 18:54
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 18:50
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -11.01%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:47
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:49
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.88%EV -4.70%E -2.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.89%EV +0.656%E +0.188%K +0.263%G +0.002%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.23%EV -2.84%E -0.852%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-11 18:49
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 41.89%EV -4.70%E -2.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 18:50
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 41.80%EV -5.12%E -2.27%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 18:54
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV +0.367%E +0.106%K +0.148%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV +0.367%E +0.106%K +0.148%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 18:49
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -0.796%E -0.234%K -0.332%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 18:48
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 18:55
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:34
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:54
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.94%E -0.571%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 18:54
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.94%E -0.571%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 18:54
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:54
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:54
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:50
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:54
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:50
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -6.38%E -2.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:49
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 18:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 18:50
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 18:50
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:54
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -2.25%E -0.673%K -0.959%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:54
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:54
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:55
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -12.03%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 18:54
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.98%EV -4.25%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.21%EV -7.21%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:52
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 18:49
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:44
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-11 18:34
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -15.97%E -5.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-11 18:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%0.4%2026-05-11 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%0.4%2026-05-11 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%0.4%2026-05-11 18:54
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-05-11 18:49
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.0%2026-05-11 18:49
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-05-11 18:55