La scuola delle quote

Rayo Vallecano v Elche CF

Inizio: 2026-04-03 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Casa)

Previsione 55.18%1.81quota equa
EV -0.122%
Vantaggio -0.067%
Kelly -0.150%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.32%55.21%55.15%56.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.721.711.8160.61%58.19%58.48%55.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elche CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.96%5.01quota equa
EV +2.81%
Vantaggio +0.545%
Kelly +0.676%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.78%19.93%20.00%20.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.724.705.1523.81%21.19%21.28%19.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.86%4.02quota equa
EV -2.56%
Vantaggio -0.654%
Kelly -0.878%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.14%24.85%24.85%26.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.743.753.9230.77%26.71%26.67%25.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.55%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +2.81%E +0.545%K +0.676%G +0.019%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.67%EV -2.56%E -0.654%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.55%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +2.81%E +0.545%K +0.676%G +0.019%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.67%EV -2.56%E -0.654%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 18:49
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.94%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.24%EV +0.410%E +0.082%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 18:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.60%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-03 18:25
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -4.55%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 18:54
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 18:49
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.75%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.36%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 18:30
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -0.122%E -0.067%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.01%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-03 17:01
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.78%E -0.998%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 16:10
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.78%E -0.998%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 16:05
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.16%EV -6.29%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.20%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:54
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.05%EV -2.88%E -1.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.97%EV -3.56%E -0.917%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 18:50
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.56%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 18:51
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 18:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.72%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 17:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:44
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:01
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:01
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:01
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:01
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.82%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 18:10
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 18:01
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 18:01
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:01
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 18:31
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 18:55
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 18:31
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 18:55
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 18:01
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.82%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:01
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.95%E -5.42%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:15
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 18:45
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 18:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:15
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 18:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 18:30
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 18:39
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 18:05
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 18:29
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 17:45
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 18:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -11.76%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:01
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -11.76%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:01
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 18:55
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.69%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.32%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.80%EV -16.16%E -3.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -19.22%E -5.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-03 18:31
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.46%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96%0.2%2026-04-03 18:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.46%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96%0.2%2026-04-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-04-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-04-03 18:50
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.43%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-04-03 18:55
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.2%2026-04-03 18:50