مدرسة الاحتمالات

Rayo Vallecano v Elche CF

البداية: 2026-04-03 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.18%1.81السعر العادل
EV -0.122%
الأفضلية -0.067%
Kelly -0.150%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.32%55.21%55.15%56.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.721.711.8160.61%58.19%58.48%55.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Elche CF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.96%5.01السعر العادل
EV +2.81%
الأفضلية +0.545%
Kelly +0.676%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.78%19.93%20.00%20.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.724.705.1523.81%21.19%21.28%19.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.86%4.02السعر العادل
EV -2.56%
الأفضلية -0.654%
Kelly -0.878%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.14%24.85%24.85%26.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.743.753.9230.77%26.71%26.67%25.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.55%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +2.81%E +0.545%K +0.676%G +0.019%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.67%EV -2.56%E -0.654%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.55%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +2.81%E +0.545%K +0.676%G +0.019%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.67%EV -2.56%E -0.654%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 18:49
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.94%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.24%EV +0.410%E +0.082%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 18:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.60%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-03 18:25
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -4.55%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 18:54
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 18:49
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.75%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.36%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 18:30
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -0.122%E -0.067%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.01%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-03 17:01
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.78%E -0.998%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 16:10
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.78%E -0.998%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 16:05
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.16%EV -6.29%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.20%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:54
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.05%EV -2.88%E -1.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.97%EV -3.56%E -0.917%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 18:50
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.56%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 18:51
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 18:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.72%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 17:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:44
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:01
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:01
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:01
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:01
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.82%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 18:10
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 18:01
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 18:01
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:01
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 18:31
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 18:55
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 18:31
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 18:55
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 18:01
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.82%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:01
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.95%E -5.42%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:15
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 18:45
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.06%E -0.785%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 18:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:15
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 18:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 18:30
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 18:39
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 18:05
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 18:29
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 17:45
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.03%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 18:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -11.76%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:01
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -11.76%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:01
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 18:55
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.69%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.32%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.80%EV -16.16%E -3.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -19.22%E -5.91%K -8.54%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-03 18:31
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.46%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96%0.2%2026-04-03 18:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.46%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96%0.2%2026-04-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-04-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-04-03 18:50
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.43%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-04-03 18:55
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.2%2026-04-03 18:50