Language:English
Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano (Local)
Prediction 31.76%3.15fair odd
EV -0.920%
Edge -0.295%
Kelly -0.434%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.42%31.72%31.74%32.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.772.952.953.1236.10%33.87%33.90%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Athletic Bilbao (Visit)
Prediction 40.47%2.47fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.848%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.40%40.49%40.52%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.322.302.4246.08%43.04%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.480%
Kelly -0.668%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.82%27.79%27.74%28.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.373.403.5432.79%29.66%29.41%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano (Local): 31.76%; Athletic Bilbao (Visit): 40.47%; Draw: 27.77%. For Rayo Vallecano (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.12, with an expected value of -0.920%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.54%EV -0.920%E -0.295%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%EV -2.05%E -0.848%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.80%EV -1.70%E -0.480%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-29 14:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -1.55%E -0.502%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -1.55%E -0.502%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 09:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -2.51%E -0.817%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.00%EV -2.05%E -0.848%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 05:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -3.46%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.61%EV -4.48%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.86%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-28 06:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 20:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-21 10:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.67%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 05:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 13:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 22:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 17:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.73%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 17:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.91%EV -5.05%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -4.08%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.82%EV -4.75%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 05:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-21 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 01:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 01:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.44%EV -7.27%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -9.74%E -4.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-02 12:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 23:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 11:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-21 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 12:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 05:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 05:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 05:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -6.10%E -2.63%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -6.10%E -2.63%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.91%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 12:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -8.54%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.67%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 23:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.54%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.54%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-21 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.54%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 01:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.54%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 01:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 11:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -10.96%E -4.98%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-02 11:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.49%E -3.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-04 20:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.08%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-01 04:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -11.08%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 05:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -11.08%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -7.72%E -3.39%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-27 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -11.08%E -3.96%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.56%EV -9.74%E -4.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -15.30%E -5.02%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-04 20:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.69%EV -12.03%E -4.34%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.45%EV -12.17%E -5.61%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-05 05:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-10-05 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50% | 1.7% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50% | 1.7% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.56% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.2% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |