Language:English
Rayo Vallecano v Alavés
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano (Local)
Prediction 45.49%2.20fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.93%45.63%44.78%47.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.012.002.1451.28%49.64%50.00%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alavés (Visit)
Prediction 23.71%4.22fair odd
EV +4.78%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 4.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.28%23.59%24.20%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.974.004.4229.41%25.21%25.00%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.80%3.25fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.409%
Kelly +0.587%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.75%30.78%31.01%31.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.023.2935.71%32.86%33.06%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rayo Vallecano (Local): 45.49%; Alavés (Visit): 23.71%; Draw: 30.80%. For Alavés (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.42, producing a positive expected value of +4.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.80%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.28%EV +4.78%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.93%EV +1.34%E +0.409%K +0.587%G +0.008% | 1.6% | 2026-08-02 11:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%EV -8.11%E -4.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV +0.749%E +0.176%K +0.230%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.51%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:09 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -0.436%E -0.104%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -1.43%E -0.446%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 11:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.11%E -4.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -0.436%E -0.104%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%EV -2.97%E -0.942%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 11:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -0.436%E -0.104%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.51%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.81%E -0.685%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -2.97%E -0.942%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -11.29%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.81%E -0.685%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -7.59%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 11:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.18%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.51%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.18%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.59%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.18%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.59%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -11.29%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.18%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -7.59%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.57%EV -2.65%E -1.24%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.36%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -6.05%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -9.92%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.59%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -12.29%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.05%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 11:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.29%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.59%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.09%EV -9.93%E -5.01%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -12.29%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.78%EV -10.67%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 12:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.28%EV -12.76%E -3.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -11.28%E -3.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 13:53 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 43.93%EV -10.84%E -5.53%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -19.40%E -5.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.75%EV -13.75%E -4.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-08-02 12:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.58% | 13.4% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.58% | 13.4% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.29% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.62% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 34.09% | 21.2% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 33.98% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 38.22% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 27.80% | 63.5% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.25%Codere (IT) 2.14 (46.8%) / 1xBet 4.42 (22.7%) / 1xBet 3.29 (30.5%)Show details
| Rayo Vallecano (Local) | Alavés (Visit) | Draw | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT) 2.14 (46.8%) | 1xBet 4.42 (22.7%) | 1xBet 3.29 (30.5%) | +0.252% |