L’École des cotes

Oviedo v Valencia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oviedo (Local)

Prévision 33.42%2.99cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.364%
Kelly -0.550%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.27%33.46%33.43%34.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.822.822.9637.04%35.41%35.46%33.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Valencia (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.39%2.75cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.48%36.43%36.38%37.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.582.602.7042.02%38.74%38.46%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.19%3.31cote équitable
EV -0.378%
Avantage -0.114%
Kelly -0.164%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.00%30.11%30.19%31.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.97%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.78%EV -1.08%E -0.364%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.61%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.61%EV -4.30%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 17:20
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 33.01%EV -1.41%E -0.479%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07%EV -1.74%E -0.645%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 17:00
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 33.10%EV -1.75%E -0.594%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.31%EV -2.47%E -0.921%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.60%EV -4.00%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-14 17:15
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.21%EV -1.74%E -0.645%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.839%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-14 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.64%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 16:35
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.64%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 16:35
Marathon Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.61%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.94%EV -2.19%E -0.676%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.39%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 16:35
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.26%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.40%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.33%EV -4.00%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 12:30
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.26%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.40%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.33%EV -4.00%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 12:30
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.17%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.58%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.25%EV -4.00%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 17:19
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -3.75%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.85%EV -10.11%E -4.09%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 17:24
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.89%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:25
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.09%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.36%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 17:25
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.09%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.36%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 15:29
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 13:34
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 17:23
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:34
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:35
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:35
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:35
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 17:25
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 16:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 17:20
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:35
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:33
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:34
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.22%EV -4.65%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:25
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.22%EV -4.65%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:25
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.58%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 17:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -0.378%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 15:50
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:20
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 17:24
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 17:20
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 17:25
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 17:25
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 17:25
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:05
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:10
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 17:25
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:10
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -4.65%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -4.65%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:10
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:10
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:20
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 16:30
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 17:25
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:34
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 17:05
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -13.39%E -5.62%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -15.47%E -5.53%K -8.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-14 17:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.78%0.2%2026-03-14 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.92%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.19%1.9%2026-03-14 17:25
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-03-14 17:10