La escuela de los momios

Oviedo v Valencia

Inicio: 2026-03-14 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oviedo (Local)

Predicción 33.42%2.99momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.364%
Kelly -0.550%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.27%33.46%33.43%34.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.822.822.9637.04%35.41%35.46%33.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Valencia (Visitante)

Predicción 36.39%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.48%36.43%36.38%37.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.582.602.7042.02%38.74%38.46%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.19%3.31momio equitativo
EV -0.378%
Ventaja -0.114%
Kelly -0.164%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.00%30.11%30.19%31.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.97%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.78%EV -1.08%E -0.364%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.61%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.61%EV -4.30%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 17:20
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 33.01%EV -1.41%E -0.479%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.07%EV -1.74%E -0.645%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 17:00
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 33.10%EV -1.75%E -0.594%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.31%EV -2.47%E -0.921%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.60%EV -4.00%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-14 17:15
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.21%EV -1.74%E -0.645%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.839%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-14 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.64%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 16:35
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.64%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 16:35
Marathon Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.61%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.94%EV -2.19%E -0.676%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.39%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 16:35
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.26%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.40%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.33%EV -4.00%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 12:30
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.26%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.40%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.33%EV -4.00%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 12:30
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.17%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.58%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.25%EV -4.00%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 17:19
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -3.75%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.85%EV -10.11%E -4.09%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 17:24
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.89%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:25
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.09%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.36%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 17:25
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.09%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.36%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 15:29
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 13:34
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 17:23
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:34
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:35
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:35
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:35
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 17:25
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 16:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 17:20
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:35
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:33
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:34
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.22%EV -4.65%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:25
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.22%EV -4.65%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:25
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.58%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 17:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -0.378%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 15:50
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:20
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 17:24
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 17:20
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 17:25
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 17:25
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 17:25
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:05
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:10
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 17:25
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:10
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -4.65%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -4.65%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:10
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:10
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:20
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 16:30
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.42%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 17:25
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:34
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 17:05
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -13.39%E -5.62%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -15.47%E -5.53%K -8.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-14 17:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.78%0.2%2026-03-14 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.92%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.19%1.9%2026-03-14 17:25
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-03-14 17:10