L’École des cotes

Oviedo v Sevilla

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oviedo (Local)

Prévision 33.38%3.00cote équitable
EV +1.13%
Avantage +0.374%
Kelly +0.558%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.60%33.44%33.33%34.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.672.822.803.0337.45%35.49%35.71%33.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sevilla (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.37%2.91cote équitable
EV +0.362%
Avantage +0.124%
Kelly +0.188%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.76%34.41%34.38%36.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.752.752.9241.67%36.31%36.36%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.25%3.10cote équitable
EV -0.018%
Avantage -0.006%
Kelly -0.009%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.72%32.16%32.28%33.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.26%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.03I 33.00%NM 32.01%EV +1.13%E +0.374%K +0.558%G +0.006%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.39%EV -0.341%E -0.110%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 16:25
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.97%EV -1.87%E -0.636%K -0.964%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -3.42%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.53%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 16:25
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.24%EV -2.20%E -0.752%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.29%EV -2.39%E -0.841%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.47%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 33.08%EV -2.54%E -0.869%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 15:54
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 33.08%EV -2.54%E -0.869%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 15:55
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.63%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.86%EV -1.01%E -0.352%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.51%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 16:09
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.51%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 16:10
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.51%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 16:09
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.51%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 16:10
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 16:20
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.09%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:05
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.89%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.45%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:24
Coolbet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.83%EV -4.21%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.25%EV +0.362%E +0.124%K +0.188%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.91%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 16:09
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.06%EV -4.21%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.06%EV -7.44%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:01
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:09
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:09
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:10
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:05
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 15:30
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:15
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:25
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:00
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:15
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -5.14%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.37%EV -5.50%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:21
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:15
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.32%EV -5.54%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.75%EV -4.21%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 16:24
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -5.88%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:25
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -0.018%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 16:15
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 15:49
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:35
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:35
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:34
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:34
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:09
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 15:39
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:29
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 16:15
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:15
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:05
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 15:09
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 15:35
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:34
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:34
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:34
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -17.51%E -7.30%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 16:12
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -1.36%E -0.473%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 15:20
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -1.36%E -0.473%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 15:20
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:20
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:25
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:25
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 33.74%EV -10.88%E -4.08%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 16:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-05 16:25
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.61%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%1.0%2026-04-05 16:20
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-04-05 16:25
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%1.8%2026-04-05 16:25