La escuela de los momios

Oviedo v Sevilla

Inicio: 2026-04-05 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oviedo (Local)

Predicción 33.38%3.00momio equitativo
EV +1.13%
Ventaja +0.374%
Kelly +0.558%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.60%33.44%33.33%34.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.672.822.803.0337.45%35.49%35.71%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sevilla (Visitante)

Predicción 34.37%2.91momio equitativo
EV +0.362%
Ventaja +0.124%
Kelly +0.188%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.76%34.41%34.38%36.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.752.752.9241.67%36.31%36.36%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.25%3.10momio equitativo
EV -0.018%
Ventaja -0.006%
Kelly -0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.72%32.16%32.28%33.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.26%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.03I 33.00%NM 32.01%EV +1.13%E +0.374%K +0.558%G +0.006%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.39%EV -0.341%E -0.110%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 16:25
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.97%EV -1.87%E -0.636%K -0.964%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -3.42%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.53%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 16:25
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.24%EV -2.20%E -0.752%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.29%EV -2.39%E -0.841%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.47%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 33.08%EV -2.54%E -0.869%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 15:54
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 33.08%EV -2.54%E -0.869%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 15:55
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.63%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.86%EV -1.01%E -0.352%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.51%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 16:09
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.51%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 16:10
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.51%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 16:09
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.51%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 16:10
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 16:20
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.09%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:05
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.89%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.45%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:24
Coolbet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.83%EV -4.21%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.25%EV +0.362%E +0.124%K +0.188%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.91%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 16:09
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.06%EV -4.21%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.06%EV -7.44%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:01
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:09
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:09
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:10
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:05
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 15:30
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:15
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:25
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:00
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:15
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -5.14%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.37%EV -5.50%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:21
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.87%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:15
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.32%EV -5.54%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.75%EV -4.21%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 16:24
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -5.88%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:25
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -0.018%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 16:15
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 15:49
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:35
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:35
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:34
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:34
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:09
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 15:39
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:29
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 16:15
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -6.54%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:15
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:05
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 15:09
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 15:35
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:34
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:34
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:34
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -17.51%E -7.30%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 16:12
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -1.36%E -0.473%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 15:20
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -1.36%E -0.473%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 15:20
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:20
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:25
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -9.88%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:25
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 33.74%EV -10.88%E -4.08%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 16:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-05 16:25
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.61%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%1.0%2026-04-05 16:20
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-04-05 16:25
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%1.8%2026-04-05 16:25