A Escola das Odds

Mallorca v Real Madrid

Início: 2026-04-04 14:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Mallorca (Local)

Previsão 17.37%5.76odd justa
EV +8.57%
Vantagem +1.37%
Kelly +1.63%
Crescimento +0.140%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.46%17.43%17.38%19.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.755.515.506.2521.05%18.14%18.18%16.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Madrid (Visitante)

Previsão 61.40%1.63odd justa
EV -1.77%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.79%61.32%61.38%64.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.431.531.531.6069.93%65.49%65.36%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.23%4.71odd justa
EV +1.92%
Vantagem +0.400%
Kelly +0.505%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.06%21.25%21.25%22.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.454.504.8026.67%22.48%22.22%20.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +8.57%E +1.37%K +1.63%G +0.140%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.41%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +1.92%E +0.400%K +0.505%G +0.010%3.5%2026-04-04 14:09
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 16.01%EV +5.96%E +0.978%K +1.17%G +0.070%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.56%EV +0.857%E +0.180%K +0.229%G +0.002%2.4%2026-04-04 14:09
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV +5.96%E +0.978%K +1.17%G +0.070%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -7.29%E -4.83%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.31%EV +0.857%E +0.180%K +0.229%G +0.002%3.7%2026-04-04 14:09
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV +5.96%E +0.978%K +1.17%G +0.070%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -7.29%E -4.83%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.31%EV +0.857%E +0.180%K +0.229%G +0.002%3.7%2026-04-04 14:09
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +4.23%E +0.705%K +0.845%G +0.036%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -2.33%E -0.506%K -0.647%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 14:09
Casumo6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +4.23%E +0.705%K +0.845%G +0.036%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -2.33%E -0.506%K -0.647%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 14:09
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +4.23%E +0.705%K +0.845%G +0.036%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -2.33%E -0.506%K -0.647%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 14:09
Bally Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +4.23%E +0.705%K +0.845%G +0.036%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -2.33%E -0.506%K -0.647%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV +4.23%E +0.705%K +0.845%G +0.036%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -9.75%E -6.63%K -20.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -2.33%E -0.506%K -0.647%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 14:09
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV +4.23%E +0.705%K +0.845%G +0.036%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 14:00
TABtouch6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV +4.23%E +0.705%K +0.845%G +0.036%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 14:04
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +4.23%E +0.705%K +0.845%G +0.036%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -10.98%E -7.57%K -24.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -2.33%E -0.506%K -0.647%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 14:09
1xBet5.95I 16.81%NM 16.29%EV +3.36%E +0.565%K +0.679%G +0.023%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.73%EV -3.61%E -2.30%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.98%EV -6.36%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 14:09
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.44%EV +0.753%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.90%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 14:09
PMU (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.753%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.52%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV +0.857%E +0.180%K +0.229%G +0.002%5.0%2026-04-04 14:09
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV +0.753%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -12.20%E -8.53%K -28.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 14:09
Marathon Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.88%EV -0.115%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.88%EV -1.27%E -0.272%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 14:04
LowVig.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.77%EV -0.115%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 14:04
BetOnline.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.77%EV -0.115%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 14:05
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -0.984%E -0.173%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -6.68%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:38
Coolbet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%EV -2.72%E -0.486%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.08%EV -2.38%E -1.50%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 13:01
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.00%EV -2.72%E -0.486%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.83%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 13:45
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -2.72%E -0.486%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -9.75%E -6.63%K -20.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 14:10
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -2.72%E -0.486%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -9.75%E -6.63%K -20.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 14:09
Pinnacle5.56I 17.99%NM 17.45%EV -3.42%E -0.614%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.41%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.14%EV -2.54%E -0.553%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:10
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 13:39
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 14:04
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 13:39
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -4.84%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 13:39
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 14:09
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -4.84%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -9.76%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:04
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:15
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 14:10
BetUS5.45I 18.35%NM 17.49%EV -5.33%E -0.977%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -5.51%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 14:10
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.55%EV -5.51%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 07:30
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.55%EV -5.51%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 14:09
Betclic (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.76%EV -6.68%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:54
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:09
Fliff5.35I 18.69%NM 17.07%EV -7.06%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -8.70%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 14:10
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -8.80%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.70%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:01
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.80%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -4.84%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.76%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:09
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -9.67%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -6.68%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -2.33%E -0.506%K -0.647%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -9.67%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 14:09
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -9.67%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -7.29%E -4.83%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.70%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 13:30
Winamax (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.41%E -2.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:39
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.14%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.77%E -1.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 14:09
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.14%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -3.61%E -2.30%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.45%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 14:09
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -13.14%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -1.77%E -1.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:19
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -13.14%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:09
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.14%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -4.84%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -9.76%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 14:09
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.14%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -4.84%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 14:09
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.14%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -13.14%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -20.38%E -5.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-04 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -16.62%E -3.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -3.61%E -2.30%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:09
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -16.62%E -3.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -3.61%E -2.30%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:09
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -17.49%E -3.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 14:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-04-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-04-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-04-04 14:09
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-04-04 14:10
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.86%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.35%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%0.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-04-04 14:09