Language:English
Málaga v Villarreal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Málaga (Local)
Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV +3.69%
Edge +0.983%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.54%27.72%27.57%29.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.403.7632.26%29.27%29.41%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Villarreal (Visit)
Prediction 45.61%2.19fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.905%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%45.55%45.65%48.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.062.072.1550.51%48.44%48.31%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.82%3.73fair odd
EV -0.784%
Edge -0.212%
Kelly -0.290%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%26.74%26.78%27.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.503.7029.85%28.51%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Málaga (Local): 27.58%; Villarreal (Visit): 45.61%; Draw: 26.82%. For Málaga (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV +3.69%E +0.983%K +1.34%G +0.049% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.01%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.45%EV -2.66%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.95%EV -0.442%E -0.122%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.33%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.73%EV -2.39%E -0.657%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%EV -0.718%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%EV -3.31%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%EV -0.718%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%EV -3.31%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%EV -0.718%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%EV -3.31%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -0.718%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.718%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.718%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 19:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.718%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.591%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.22%EV -1.95%E -0.905%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-17 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.10%E -0.591%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -3.20%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.10%E -0.591%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -3.20%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.10%E -0.591%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -3.48%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.48%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.48%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -6.05%E -2.94%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -3.48%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.59%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -3.48%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.59%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -3.48%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.59%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -3.48%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.59%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.48%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.48%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.48%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.48%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.51%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 19:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.95%E -0.905%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-17 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-17 19:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.13%E -0.582%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 19:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.70%EV -9.24%E -4.64%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -0.784%E -0.212%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.53%EV -6.96%E -3.41%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.13%E -0.582%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -9.70%E -4.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.42%EV -13.96%E -4.47%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.44%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -2.13%E -0.582%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-17 19:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.51%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-17 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.7% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.7% | 2026-09-17 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-17 19:25 |